Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.

A mathematical model is designed to assess the impact of some interventional strategies for curtailing the burden of snakebite envenoming in a community. The model is fitted with real data set. Numerical simulations have shown that public health awareness of the susceptible individuals on snakebite...

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Autores principales:	Shuaibu Ahijo Abdullahi, Abdulrazaq Garba Habib, Nafiu Hussaini
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/3e8fc3cb065f4267a0e1f7a6fb999889
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:3e8fc3cb065f4267a0e1f7a6fb9998892021-12-02T20:24:15ZControl of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.1935-27271935-273510.1371/journal.pntd.0009711https://doaj.org/article/3e8fc3cb065f4267a0e1f7a6fb9998892021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009711https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2727https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2735A mathematical model is designed to assess the impact of some interventional strategies for curtailing the burden of snakebite envenoming in a community. The model is fitted with real data set. Numerical simulations have shown that public health awareness of the susceptible individuals on snakebite preventive measures could reduce the number of envenoming and prevent deaths and disabilities in the population. The simulations further revealed that if at least fifty percent of snakebite envenoming patients receive early treatment with antivenom a substantial number of deaths will be averted. Furthermore, it is shown using optimal control that combining public health awareness and antivenom treatment averts the highest number of snakebite induced deaths and disability adjusted life years in the study area. To choose the best strategy amidst limited resources in the study area, cost effectiveness analysis in terms of incremental cost effectiveness ratio is performed. It has been established that the control efforts of combining public health awareness of the susceptible individuals and antivenom treatment for victims of snakebite envenoming is the most cost effective strategy. Approximately the sum of US$72,548 is needed to avert 117 deaths or 2,739 disability adjusted life years that are recorded within 21 months in the study area. Thus, the combination of these two control strategies is recommended.Shuaibu Ahijo AbdullahiAbdulrazaq Garba HabibNafiu HussainiPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleArctic medicine. Tropical medicineRC955-962Public aspects of medicineRA1-1270ENPLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol 15, Iss 8, p e0009711 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270
spellingShingle	Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine RC955-962 Public aspects of medicine RA1-1270 Shuaibu Ahijo Abdullahi Abdulrazaq Garba Habib Nafiu Hussaini Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
description	A mathematical model is designed to assess the impact of some interventional strategies for curtailing the burden of snakebite envenoming in a community. The model is fitted with real data set. Numerical simulations have shown that public health awareness of the susceptible individuals on snakebite preventive measures could reduce the number of envenoming and prevent deaths and disabilities in the population. The simulations further revealed that if at least fifty percent of snakebite envenoming patients receive early treatment with antivenom a substantial number of deaths will be averted. Furthermore, it is shown using optimal control that combining public health awareness and antivenom treatment averts the highest number of snakebite induced deaths and disability adjusted life years in the study area. To choose the best strategy amidst limited resources in the study area, cost effectiveness analysis in terms of incremental cost effectiveness ratio is performed. It has been established that the control efforts of combining public health awareness of the susceptible individuals and antivenom treatment for victims of snakebite envenoming is the most cost effective strategy. Approximately the sum of US$72,548 is needed to avert 117 deaths or 2,739 disability adjusted life years that are recorded within 21 months in the study area. Thus, the combination of these two control strategies is recommended.
format	article
author	Shuaibu Ahijo Abdullahi Abdulrazaq Garba Habib Nafiu Hussaini
author_facet	Shuaibu Ahijo Abdullahi Abdulrazaq Garba Habib Nafiu Hussaini
author_sort	Shuaibu Ahijo Abdullahi
title	Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
title_short	Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
title_full	Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
title_fullStr	Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
title_full_unstemmed	Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.
title_sort	control of snakebite envenoming: a mathematical modeling study.
publisher	Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/3e8fc3cb065f4267a0e1f7a6fb999889
work_keys_str_mv	AT shuaibuahijoabdullahi controlofsnakebiteenvenomingamathematicalmodelingstudy AT abdulrazaqgarbahabib controlofsnakebiteenvenomingamathematicalmodelingstudy AT nafiuhussaini controlofsnakebiteenvenomingamathematicalmodelingstudy
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Control of snakebite envenoming: A mathematical modeling study.

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