Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models

The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method is one of the popular methods for calculating storm depth from a rainfall event. The previous research identified antecedent rainfall as a key element that controls the non-linear behaviour of the model. The original version indirectly uses...

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Autores principales: Pankaj Upreti, C. S. P. Ojha
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Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:3f7f03d3c9224a368e52f32e4df94e862021-11-06T07:18:35ZComparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models1606-97491607-079810.2166/ws.2020.315https://doaj.org/article/3f7f03d3c9224a368e52f32e4df94e862021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ws.iwaponline.com/content/21/5/2122https://doaj.org/toc/1606-9749https://doaj.org/toc/1607-0798The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method is one of the popular methods for calculating storm depth from a rainfall event. The previous research identified antecedent rainfall as a key element that controls the non-linear behaviour of the model. The original version indirectly uses five days antecedent rainfall to identify the land condition as dry, normal or wet. This leads to a sudden jump once the land condition changes. To obviate this, the present work intends to improve the performance of antecedent rainfall-based SCS-CN models. Two forms of SCS-CN model (M1 and M2), two recently developed P-P5 based models (M3 and M4), and an alternate approach of considering P5 in the SCS-CN model (M5 and M6), as proposed here, were investigated. Based on the evaluation of several error metrics, the new proposed model M6 has performed better than other models. The performance of this model is evaluated using rainfall-runoff events of 114 watersheds located in the USA. The median value of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency was found as 0.78 for the M6 model followed by M5 (0.75), M3 (0.73), M4 (0.72), M2 (0.63) and M1 (0.61) model. HIGHLIGHTS The study has been done on significant runoff producing events for which runoff coefficient is greater than 0.12.; Research supports the superior performance of the proposed model in US watersheds.; It acknowledges the applicability of five days antecedent rainfall (P5) on runoff prediction and shows improvement in model performance under all statistical indices.;Pankaj UpretiC. S. P. OjhaIWA Publishingarticleantecedent runoff condition (arc)maximum potential retentionoptimizationscs-cn methodsurface runoff estimationus watershedsWater supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)TC401-506ENWater Supply, Vol 21, Iss 5, Pp 2122-2138 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic antecedent runoff condition (arc)
maximum potential retention
optimization
scs-cn method
surface runoff estimation
us watersheds
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
spellingShingle antecedent runoff condition (arc)
maximum potential retention
optimization
scs-cn method
surface runoff estimation
us watersheds
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
River, lake, and water-supply engineering (General)
TC401-506
Pankaj Upreti
C. S. P. Ojha
Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
description The Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method is one of the popular methods for calculating storm depth from a rainfall event. The previous research identified antecedent rainfall as a key element that controls the non-linear behaviour of the model. The original version indirectly uses five days antecedent rainfall to identify the land condition as dry, normal or wet. This leads to a sudden jump once the land condition changes. To obviate this, the present work intends to improve the performance of antecedent rainfall-based SCS-CN models. Two forms of SCS-CN model (M1 and M2), two recently developed P-P5 based models (M3 and M4), and an alternate approach of considering P5 in the SCS-CN model (M5 and M6), as proposed here, were investigated. Based on the evaluation of several error metrics, the new proposed model M6 has performed better than other models. The performance of this model is evaluated using rainfall-runoff events of 114 watersheds located in the USA. The median value of Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency was found as 0.78 for the M6 model followed by M5 (0.75), M3 (0.73), M4 (0.72), M2 (0.63) and M1 (0.61) model. HIGHLIGHTS The study has been done on significant runoff producing events for which runoff coefficient is greater than 0.12.; Research supports the superior performance of the proposed model in US watersheds.; It acknowledges the applicability of five days antecedent rainfall (P5) on runoff prediction and shows improvement in model performance under all statistical indices.;
format article
author Pankaj Upreti
C. S. P. Ojha
author_facet Pankaj Upreti
C. S. P. Ojha
author_sort Pankaj Upreti
title Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
title_short Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
title_full Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
title_fullStr Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
title_sort comparison of antecedent precipitation based rainfall-runoff models
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/3f7f03d3c9224a368e52f32e4df94e86
work_keys_str_mv AT pankajupreti comparisonofantecedentprecipitationbasedrainfallrunoffmodels
AT cspojha comparisonofantecedentprecipitationbasedrainfallrunoffmodels
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