Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region

Egypt's water resources are already limited. Moreover, climate change will put greater pressure on these resources. This research aims to assess the impact of climate change on the water demands for one of the most important Egyptian food crops which is the wheat crop. In addition, a number of...

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Autores principales: Soha M. Mostafa, Osama Wahed, Walaa Y. El-Nashar, Samia M. El-Marsafawy, Hany F. Abd-Elhamid
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Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/3fbab167d0964aaa809932ba8ecc1bef
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:3fbab167d0964aaa809932ba8ecc1bef2021-11-05T17:19:40ZImpact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region2709-80282709-803610.2166/aqua.2021.019https://doaj.org/article/3fbab167d0964aaa809932ba8ecc1bef2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://aqua.iwaponline.com/content/70/7/1066https://doaj.org/toc/2709-8028https://doaj.org/toc/2709-8036Egypt's water resources are already limited. Moreover, climate change will put greater pressure on these resources. This research aims to assess the impact of climate change on the water demands for one of the most important Egyptian food crops which is the wheat crop. In addition, a number of adaptation strategies were tested to mitigate the negative impact of climate change on wheat productivity and its water relations. The current study was carried out in the Middle Egypt region. Two models were used, the first is the climate model (MAGICC/SCENGEN), which is used to simulate the impact of global greenhouse gas emissions on the rate of rise in temperature at the regional level. The second is the irrigation model (CROPWAT8.0), which is used to simulate the irrigation water requirements under current and likely climate change conditions. The results indicated that the increase in greenhouse gas emissions will cause the temperature to rise over the study area by about 2.12 °C in 2050 and 3.96 °C by 2100. As a result, the irrigation water needs for wheat crop are likely to increase by 6.2 and 11.8% in 2050 and 2100, respectively. In addition, wheat productivity will decline by 8.6 in 2050 and 11.1% in 2100. HIGHLIGHTS Simulate the impact of climate change on the irrigation water needs of wheat crops.; Impact of climate change on irrigation water requirements, cumulative yield reduction and crop water productivity for wheat crops.; Adaptation strategies will be examined to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on the crop under study.;Soha M. MostafaOsama WahedWalaa Y. El-NasharSamia M. El-MarsafawyHany F. Abd-ElhamidIWA Publishingarticleadaptation to climate changeclimate changeirrigation water requirementswater resourceswheat cropEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENAqua, Vol 70, Iss 7, Pp 1066-1084 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic adaptation to climate change
climate change
irrigation water requirements
water resources
wheat crop
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle adaptation to climate change
climate change
irrigation water requirements
water resources
wheat crop
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Soha M. Mostafa
Osama Wahed
Walaa Y. El-Nashar
Samia M. El-Marsafawy
Hany F. Abd-Elhamid
Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
description Egypt's water resources are already limited. Moreover, climate change will put greater pressure on these resources. This research aims to assess the impact of climate change on the water demands for one of the most important Egyptian food crops which is the wheat crop. In addition, a number of adaptation strategies were tested to mitigate the negative impact of climate change on wheat productivity and its water relations. The current study was carried out in the Middle Egypt region. Two models were used, the first is the climate model (MAGICC/SCENGEN), which is used to simulate the impact of global greenhouse gas emissions on the rate of rise in temperature at the regional level. The second is the irrigation model (CROPWAT8.0), which is used to simulate the irrigation water requirements under current and likely climate change conditions. The results indicated that the increase in greenhouse gas emissions will cause the temperature to rise over the study area by about 2.12 °C in 2050 and 3.96 °C by 2100. As a result, the irrigation water needs for wheat crop are likely to increase by 6.2 and 11.8% in 2050 and 2100, respectively. In addition, wheat productivity will decline by 8.6 in 2050 and 11.1% in 2100. HIGHLIGHTS Simulate the impact of climate change on the irrigation water needs of wheat crops.; Impact of climate change on irrigation water requirements, cumulative yield reduction and crop water productivity for wheat crops.; Adaptation strategies will be examined to mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on the crop under study.;
format article
author Soha M. Mostafa
Osama Wahed
Walaa Y. El-Nashar
Samia M. El-Marsafawy
Hany F. Abd-Elhamid
author_facet Soha M. Mostafa
Osama Wahed
Walaa Y. El-Nashar
Samia M. El-Marsafawy
Hany F. Abd-Elhamid
author_sort Soha M. Mostafa
title Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
title_short Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
title_full Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
title_fullStr Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
title_full_unstemmed Impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the Middle Egypt region
title_sort impact of climate change on water resources and crop yield in the middle egypt region
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/3fbab167d0964aaa809932ba8ecc1bef
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