Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions

Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Matthew B. Menary, Leon Hermanson
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2018
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe2021-12-02T16:50:10ZLimits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions10.1038/s41467-018-04043-92041-1723https://doaj.org/article/408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe2018-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.Matthew B. MenaryLeon HermansonNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 9, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2018)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
description	Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.
format	article
author	Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson
author_facet	Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson
author_sort	Matthew B. Menary
title	Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
title_short	Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
title_full	Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
title_fullStr	Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
title_full_unstemmed	Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
title_sort	limits on determining the skill of north atlantic ocean decadal predictions
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2018
url	https://doaj.org/article/408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe
work_keys_str_mv	AT matthewbmenary limitsondeterminingtheskillofnorthatlanticoceandecadalpredictions AT leonhermanson limitsondeterminingtheskillofnorthatlanticoceandecadalpredictions
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Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions

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