The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.

<h4>Background</h4>The Australian Government recently established sodium targets for packaged foods to encourage voluntary reformulation to reduce population sodium consumption and related diseases. We modeled the health impact of Australia's sodium reformulation targets and additio...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Kathy Trieu, Daisy H Coyle, Ashkan Afshin, Bruce Neal, Matti Marklund, Jason H Y Wu
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Materias:
R
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/40990257e34e4285afff370520a1e733
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
id oai:doaj.org-article:40990257e34e4285afff370520a1e733
record_format dspace
spelling oai:doaj.org-article:40990257e34e4285afff370520a1e7332021-12-02T19:55:43ZThe estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.1549-12771549-167610.1371/journal.pmed.1003806https://doaj.org/article/40990257e34e4285afff370520a1e7332021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003806https://doaj.org/toc/1549-1277https://doaj.org/toc/1549-1676<h4>Background</h4>The Australian Government recently established sodium targets for packaged foods to encourage voluntary reformulation to reduce population sodium consumption and related diseases. We modeled the health impact of Australia's sodium reformulation targets and additional likely health gains if more ambitious, yet feasible sodium targets had been adopted instead.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Using comparative risk assessment models, we estimated the averted deaths, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and stomach cancer after implementation of (a) Australia's sodium targets (overall and by individual companies); (b) United Kingdom's targets (that covers more product categories); and (c) an optimistic scenario (sales-weighted 25th percentile sodium content for each food category included in the UK program). We used nationally representative data to estimate pre- and post-intervention sodium intake, and other key data sources from the Global Burden of Disease study. Full compliance with the Australian government's sodium targets could prevent approximately 510 deaths/year (95% UI, 335 to 757), corresponding to about 1% of CVD, CKD, and stomach cancer deaths, and prevent some 1,920 (1,274 to 2,600) new cases and 7,240 (5,138 to 10,008) DALYs/year attributable to these diseases. Over half (59%) of deaths prevented is attributed to reformulation by 5 market-dominant companies. Compliance with the UK and optimistic scenario could avert approximately an additional 660 (207 to 1,227) and 1,070 (511 to 1,856) deaths/year, respectively, compared to Australia's targets. The main limitation of this study (like other modeling studies) is that it does not prove that sodium reformulation programs will prevent deaths and disease events; rather, it provides the best quantitative estimates and the corresponding uncertainty of the potential effect of the different programs to guide the design of policies.<h4>Conclusions</h4>There is significant potential to strengthen Australia's sodium reformulation targets to improve its health impact. Promoting compliance by market-dominant food companies will be critical to achieving the potential health gains.Kathy TrieuDaisy H CoyleAshkan AfshinBruce NealMatti MarklundJason H Y WuPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRENPLoS Medicine, Vol 18, Iss 10, p e1003806 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Kathy Trieu
Daisy H Coyle
Ashkan Afshin
Bruce Neal
Matti Marklund
Jason H Y Wu
The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
description <h4>Background</h4>The Australian Government recently established sodium targets for packaged foods to encourage voluntary reformulation to reduce population sodium consumption and related diseases. We modeled the health impact of Australia's sodium reformulation targets and additional likely health gains if more ambitious, yet feasible sodium targets had been adopted instead.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>Using comparative risk assessment models, we estimated the averted deaths, incidence, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and stomach cancer after implementation of (a) Australia's sodium targets (overall and by individual companies); (b) United Kingdom's targets (that covers more product categories); and (c) an optimistic scenario (sales-weighted 25th percentile sodium content for each food category included in the UK program). We used nationally representative data to estimate pre- and post-intervention sodium intake, and other key data sources from the Global Burden of Disease study. Full compliance with the Australian government's sodium targets could prevent approximately 510 deaths/year (95% UI, 335 to 757), corresponding to about 1% of CVD, CKD, and stomach cancer deaths, and prevent some 1,920 (1,274 to 2,600) new cases and 7,240 (5,138 to 10,008) DALYs/year attributable to these diseases. Over half (59%) of deaths prevented is attributed to reformulation by 5 market-dominant companies. Compliance with the UK and optimistic scenario could avert approximately an additional 660 (207 to 1,227) and 1,070 (511 to 1,856) deaths/year, respectively, compared to Australia's targets. The main limitation of this study (like other modeling studies) is that it does not prove that sodium reformulation programs will prevent deaths and disease events; rather, it provides the best quantitative estimates and the corresponding uncertainty of the potential effect of the different programs to guide the design of policies.<h4>Conclusions</h4>There is significant potential to strengthen Australia's sodium reformulation targets to improve its health impact. Promoting compliance by market-dominant food companies will be critical to achieving the potential health gains.
format article
author Kathy Trieu
Daisy H Coyle
Ashkan Afshin
Bruce Neal
Matti Marklund
Jason H Y Wu
author_facet Kathy Trieu
Daisy H Coyle
Ashkan Afshin
Bruce Neal
Matti Marklund
Jason H Y Wu
author_sort Kathy Trieu
title The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
title_short The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
title_full The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
title_fullStr The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
title_full_unstemmed The estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in Australia: A modeling study.
title_sort estimated health impact of sodium reduction through food reformulation in australia: a modeling study.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/40990257e34e4285afff370520a1e733
work_keys_str_mv AT kathytrieu theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT daisyhcoyle theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT ashkanafshin theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT bruceneal theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT mattimarklund theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT jasonhywu theestimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT kathytrieu estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT daisyhcoyle estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT ashkanafshin estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT bruceneal estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT mattimarklund estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
AT jasonhywu estimatedhealthimpactofsodiumreductionthroughfoodreformulationinaustraliaamodelingstudy
_version_ 1718375834424705024