Discontinuous epidemic transition due to limited testing

Common mitigation measures gradually inhibit the spread of infectious diseases, yielding smooth transitions to large-scale epidemics. As Scarselli et al. show, limited testing may radically change the transition to include jumps, potentially resulting in unforseen, accelerated growth of case numbers...

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Autores principales: Davide Scarselli, Nazmi Burak Budanur, Marc Timme, Björn Hof
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/4118b912d1b44b87872c0b852aac4e98
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Sumario:Common mitigation measures gradually inhibit the spread of infectious diseases, yielding smooth transitions to large-scale epidemics. As Scarselli et al. show, limited testing may radically change the transition to include jumps, potentially resulting in unforseen, accelerated growth of case numbers.