THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY

The last decades have witnessed a remarkable surge of interest in studying the influence of science and technology on world politics. However, not all channels of such influence have been examined with equal rigor. Whereas numerous researchers have explored meticulously the impact of technologies on...

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Autor principal: V. I. Bartenev
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Publicado: MGIMO University Press 2016
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:41a3b5d0ab80414d90c17794fdc7a52f2021-11-23T14:51:01ZTHE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY2071-81602541-909910.24833/2071-8160-2016-3-48-30-42https://doaj.org/article/41a3b5d0ab80414d90c17794fdc7a52f2016-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/534https://doaj.org/toc/2071-8160https://doaj.org/toc/2541-9099The last decades have witnessed a remarkable surge of interest in studying the influence of science and technology on world politics. However, not all channels of such influence have been examined with equal rigor. Whereas numerous researchers have explored meticulously the impact of technologies on warfare, the issues of using military-technological breakthroughs to achieve political goals have been addressed less frequently. This paper seeks to fill this gaping niche by decomposing the Third Offset Strategy (TOS), a recent initiative of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) aimed at ensuring military-technological superiority of the United States in the XXI century, predominantly, by offsetting the new capabilities of the Russian Federation and the Popular Republic of China. The first section unveils a conceptual framing of the TOS, the second section examines a variety of technological priorities, and the final section identifies key uncertainties around implementation of this initiative in the mid-term and long-term perspective. The conclusion postulates that the emergence of the TOS was determined by both an erosion of the U.S. military superiority and budget constraints, and, therefore, its content might change if budget austerity imperatives will stop dominating the DoD strategists' thinking. The launch of the third offset strategy has also important international-political aspects. First, the TOS fits in the context of the U.S. rebalance to the Asia-Pacific. Second, the American allies in Europe might face a threat of a widening technological gap with the United States and a need to boost their spending on defense research and development, which might be unfeasible in the current fiscal environment. Third, the concentration of the United States on countering high-end opponents might lead to a further marginalization of the Middle East. Fourth, the TOS is likely to contain a disinformation component and aim at dragging the peer competitors of the U.S. into an exhaustive arms race.V. I. BartenevMGIMO University Pressarticleunited statesdefensenational securitytechnologythird offset strategydeterrence innovationrevolution in military affairsartificial intellecthuman-machine teamingelectronic warfareInternational relationsJZ2-6530ENRUVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta, Vol 0, Iss 3(48), Pp 30-42 (2016)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
RU
topic united states
defense
national security
technology
third offset strategy
deterrence
 innovation
revolution in military affairs
artificial intellect
human-machine teaming
electronic warfare
International relations
JZ2-6530
spellingShingle united states
defense
national security
technology
third offset strategy
deterrence
 innovation
revolution in military affairs
artificial intellect
human-machine teaming
electronic warfare
International relations
JZ2-6530
V. I. Bartenev
THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
description The last decades have witnessed a remarkable surge of interest in studying the influence of science and technology on world politics. However, not all channels of such influence have been examined with equal rigor. Whereas numerous researchers have explored meticulously the impact of technologies on warfare, the issues of using military-technological breakthroughs to achieve political goals have been addressed less frequently. This paper seeks to fill this gaping niche by decomposing the Third Offset Strategy (TOS), a recent initiative of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) aimed at ensuring military-technological superiority of the United States in the XXI century, predominantly, by offsetting the new capabilities of the Russian Federation and the Popular Republic of China. The first section unveils a conceptual framing of the TOS, the second section examines a variety of technological priorities, and the final section identifies key uncertainties around implementation of this initiative in the mid-term and long-term perspective. The conclusion postulates that the emergence of the TOS was determined by both an erosion of the U.S. military superiority and budget constraints, and, therefore, its content might change if budget austerity imperatives will stop dominating the DoD strategists' thinking. The launch of the third offset strategy has also important international-political aspects. First, the TOS fits in the context of the U.S. rebalance to the Asia-Pacific. Second, the American allies in Europe might face a threat of a widening technological gap with the United States and a need to boost their spending on defense research and development, which might be unfeasible in the current fiscal environment. Third, the concentration of the United States on countering high-end opponents might lead to a further marginalization of the Middle East. Fourth, the TOS is likely to contain a disinformation component and aim at dragging the peer competitors of the U.S. into an exhaustive arms race.
format article
author V. I. Bartenev
author_facet V. I. Bartenev
author_sort V. I. Bartenev
title THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
title_short THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
title_full THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
title_fullStr THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
title_full_unstemmed THE U.S. QUEST FOR NEW TECHOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS OF MILITARY SUPERIORITY: DILEMMAS OF THE THIRD OFFSET STRATEGY
title_sort u.s. quest for new techological foundations of military superiority: dilemmas of the third offset strategy
publisher MGIMO University Press
publishDate 2016
url https://doaj.org/article/41a3b5d0ab80414d90c17794fdc7a52f
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