DETEKSI FAKTOR PENYEBAB INFLASI DI PURWOKERTO
Generally inflation constitute more a problem than a solution because its impact to all economic conditions. Inflation phenomena in Purwokerto is necessary to research. Inflation In this region is more unstable than other cities. December 2008, even other cities had deflation situation, positive in...
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| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | EN |
| Publicado: |
Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
2009
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/431efe5b78dc4ca8924970cd035f12ed |
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| Sumario: | Generally inflation constitute more a problem than a solution because its impact to all economic conditions. Inflation phenomena in Purwokerto is necessary to research. Inflation In this region is more unstable than other cities. December 2008, even other cities had deflation situation, positive inflation occurred in Purwokerto. Inflation modeling by Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR), it is find out money supply (M1), consumption interest rate, deposit interest rate, Rupiah/US dollar exchange rate, consumers trust index, and oil price have significant impact to inflation rate. Best model is produced by 1st to 6th lag auto regression factors. It means relatively the current inflation was effected by 1st – 6th months before. Other result, money supply with proxy by cash flow from banking sector to rill sector has positive impact to inflation. Interest rates, by means consumption interest rate and deposit interest rate, have negative impact. Total credit from Banyumas banking has negative effect. Increasing of Rupiah currency to US dollar has positive impact. While consumers trust of Purwokerto resident has negative impact to inflation. Last, price oil increasing has positive inflation effect directly. |
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