Inter-outbreak stability reflects the size of the susceptible pool and forecasts magnitudes of seasonal epidemics
Directly measuring the size of the susceptible population is usually unfeasible before dengue outbreaks. Here, the authors show that the stability of low-incidence periods provides a proxy measure, which can be estimated from incidence data, and show its utility for forecasting outbreaks.
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| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | EN |
| Publicado: |
Nature Portfolio
2019
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/4344c7dd25964e37a790f583bd6b3cb6 |
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