European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios

Abstract In a context of increasing anthropogenic pressure, projecting species potential distributional shifts is of major importance for the sustainable exploitation of marine species. Despite their major economical (i.e. important fisheries) and ecological (i.e. central position in food-webs) impo...

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Autores principales:	Alexandre Schickele, Patrice Francour, Virginie Raybaud
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/448c8280f521401a957508b39945ba4a
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id	oai:doaj.org-article:448c8280f521401a957508b39945ba4a
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:448c8280f521401a957508b39945ba4a2021-12-02T14:03:46ZEuropean cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios10.1038/s41598-021-83457-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/448c8280f521401a957508b39945ba4a2021-02-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-83457-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract In a context of increasing anthropogenic pressure, projecting species potential distributional shifts is of major importance for the sustainable exploitation of marine species. Despite their major economical (i.e. important fisheries) and ecological (i.e. central position in food-webs) importance, cephalopods literature rarely addresses an explicit understanding of their current distribution and the potential effect that climate change may induce in the following decades. In this study, we focus on three largely harvested and common cephalopod species in Europe: Octopus vulgaris, Sepia officinalis and Loligo vulgaris. Using a recently improved species ensemble modelling framework coupled with five atmosphere–ocean general circulation models, we modelled their contemporary and potential future distributional range over the twenty-first century. Independently of global warming scenarios, we observed a decreasing in the suitability of environmental conditions in the Mediterranean Sea and the Bay of Biscay. Conversely, we projected a rapidly increasing environmental suitability in the North, Norwegian and Baltic Seas for all species. This study is a first broad scale assessment and identification of the geographical areas, fisheries and ecosystems impacted by climate-induced changes in cephalopods distributional range.Alexandre SchickelePatrice FrancourVirginie RaybaudNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Alexandre Schickele Patrice Francour Virginie Raybaud European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
description	Abstract In a context of increasing anthropogenic pressure, projecting species potential distributional shifts is of major importance for the sustainable exploitation of marine species. Despite their major economical (i.e. important fisheries) and ecological (i.e. central position in food-webs) importance, cephalopods literature rarely addresses an explicit understanding of their current distribution and the potential effect that climate change may induce in the following decades. In this study, we focus on three largely harvested and common cephalopod species in Europe: Octopus vulgaris, Sepia officinalis and Loligo vulgaris. Using a recently improved species ensemble modelling framework coupled with five atmosphere–ocean general circulation models, we modelled their contemporary and potential future distributional range over the twenty-first century. Independently of global warming scenarios, we observed a decreasing in the suitability of environmental conditions in the Mediterranean Sea and the Bay of Biscay. Conversely, we projected a rapidly increasing environmental suitability in the North, Norwegian and Baltic Seas for all species. This study is a first broad scale assessment and identification of the geographical areas, fisheries and ecosystems impacted by climate-induced changes in cephalopods distributional range.
format	article
author	Alexandre Schickele Patrice Francour Virginie Raybaud
author_facet	Alexandre Schickele Patrice Francour Virginie Raybaud
author_sort	Alexandre Schickele
title	European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
title_short	European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
title_full	European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
title_fullStr	European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
title_full_unstemmed	European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
title_sort	european cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/448c8280f521401a957508b39945ba4a
work_keys_str_mv	AT alexandreschickele europeancephalopodsdistributionunderclimatechangescenarios AT patricefrancour europeancephalopodsdistributionunderclimatechangescenarios AT virginieraybaud europeancephalopodsdistributionunderclimatechangescenarios
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European cephalopods distribution under climate-change scenarios

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