Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies a...
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Nature Portfolio
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d3032021-12-02T15:08:25ZTargeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study10.1038/s41598-018-34461-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d3032018-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-34461-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies are being considered. This study developed an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model using a recently published contact matrix to depict measles transmissions between individuals in seven age groups. Hubei, a high measles-incidence province in central China, was the selected setting. The baseline scenario was calibrated by fitting with the 2012–2015 age-stratified incidence data. SIAs targeting multiple age groups were simulated. Adult-targeted (>29 years) two-year SIA cycles produced the greatest annual incidence rate decrease, reducing incidences by half over a long timespan with 90% coverage levels. Incidences could remain below 10/100,000 until 2030 if SIAs were provided to individuals ≥6 years old with at least 50% coverage. These findings will help officials prioritize supplementary vaccination strategies. Public health officials in China should consider adult-to-adult transmissions and provide adult-targeted SIAs. Although officials have reported approximately 90% SIA coverage in the past, SIAs for the adult population should be provided on shorter intervals, particularly for the aging population with decreased immunity.Ka Chun ChongChi ZhangKatherine Min JiaBenny Chung Ying ZeeTongyong LuoLei WangGreta Chun Huen TamRiyang SunMaggie Haitian WangXuhua GuanNature PortfolioarticleSupplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs)Measles ControlRoutine ImmunizationVarying Coverage LevelsBaseline ScenarioMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2018) |
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Supplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs) Measles Control Routine Immunization Varying Coverage Levels Baseline Scenario Medicine R Science Q |
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Supplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs) Measles Control Routine Immunization Varying Coverage Levels Baseline Scenario Medicine R Science Q Ka Chun Chong Chi Zhang Katherine Min Jia Benny Chung Ying Zee Tongyong Luo Lei Wang Greta Chun Huen Tam Riyang Sun Maggie Haitian Wang Xuhua Guan Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
description |
Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies are being considered. This study developed an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model using a recently published contact matrix to depict measles transmissions between individuals in seven age groups. Hubei, a high measles-incidence province in central China, was the selected setting. The baseline scenario was calibrated by fitting with the 2012–2015 age-stratified incidence data. SIAs targeting multiple age groups were simulated. Adult-targeted (>29 years) two-year SIA cycles produced the greatest annual incidence rate decrease, reducing incidences by half over a long timespan with 90% coverage levels. Incidences could remain below 10/100,000 until 2030 if SIAs were provided to individuals ≥6 years old with at least 50% coverage. These findings will help officials prioritize supplementary vaccination strategies. Public health officials in China should consider adult-to-adult transmissions and provide adult-targeted SIAs. Although officials have reported approximately 90% SIA coverage in the past, SIAs for the adult population should be provided on shorter intervals, particularly for the aging population with decreased immunity. |
format |
article |
author |
Ka Chun Chong Chi Zhang Katherine Min Jia Benny Chung Ying Zee Tongyong Luo Lei Wang Greta Chun Huen Tam Riyang Sun Maggie Haitian Wang Xuhua Guan |
author_facet |
Ka Chun Chong Chi Zhang Katherine Min Jia Benny Chung Ying Zee Tongyong Luo Lei Wang Greta Chun Huen Tam Riyang Sun Maggie Haitian Wang Xuhua Guan |
author_sort |
Ka Chun Chong |
title |
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
title_short |
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
title_full |
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
title_fullStr |
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
title_full_unstemmed |
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study |
title_sort |
targeting adults for supplementary immunization activities of measles control in central china: a mathematical modelling study |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d303 |
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