Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study

Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies a...

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Autores principales: Ka Chun Chong, Chi Zhang, Katherine Min Jia, Benny Chung Ying Zee, Tongyong Luo, Lei Wang, Greta Chun Huen Tam, Riyang Sun, Maggie Haitian Wang, Xuhua Guan
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d303
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d3032021-12-02T15:08:25ZTargeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study10.1038/s41598-018-34461-02045-2322https://doaj.org/article/45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d3032018-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-34461-0https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies are being considered. This study developed an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model using a recently published contact matrix to depict measles transmissions between individuals in seven age groups. Hubei, a high measles-incidence province in central China, was the selected setting. The baseline scenario was calibrated by fitting with the 2012–2015 age-stratified incidence data. SIAs targeting multiple age groups were simulated. Adult-targeted (>29 years) two-year SIA cycles produced the greatest annual incidence rate decrease, reducing incidences by half over a long timespan with 90% coverage levels. Incidences could remain below 10/100,000 until 2030 if SIAs were provided to individuals ≥6 years old with at least 50% coverage. These findings will help officials prioritize supplementary vaccination strategies. Public health officials in China should consider adult-to-adult transmissions and provide adult-targeted SIAs. Although officials have reported approximately 90% SIA coverage in the past, SIAs for the adult population should be provided on shorter intervals, particularly for the aging population with decreased immunity.Ka Chun ChongChi ZhangKatherine Min JiaBenny Chung Ying ZeeTongyong LuoLei WangGreta Chun Huen TamRiyang SunMaggie Haitian WangXuhua GuanNature PortfolioarticleSupplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs)Measles ControlRoutine ImmunizationVarying Coverage LevelsBaseline ScenarioMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Supplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs)
Measles Control
Routine Immunization
Varying Coverage Levels
Baseline Scenario
Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Supplementary Immunization Activities (SIAs)
Measles Control
Routine Immunization
Varying Coverage Levels
Baseline Scenario
Medicine
R
Science
Q
Ka Chun Chong
Chi Zhang
Katherine Min Jia
Benny Chung Ying Zee
Tongyong Luo
Lei Wang
Greta Chun Huen Tam
Riyang Sun
Maggie Haitian Wang
Xuhua Guan
Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
description Abstract Routine immunizations and supplementary immunization activities (SIAs) have significantly improved measles control over the past two decades in China. Progress towards eliminating measles currently faces multiple challenges as the infection age increases, and adult-targeted SIA strategies are being considered. This study developed an age-stratified susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model using a recently published contact matrix to depict measles transmissions between individuals in seven age groups. Hubei, a high measles-incidence province in central China, was the selected setting. The baseline scenario was calibrated by fitting with the 2012–2015 age-stratified incidence data. SIAs targeting multiple age groups were simulated. Adult-targeted (>29 years) two-year SIA cycles produced the greatest annual incidence rate decrease, reducing incidences by half over a long timespan with 90% coverage levels. Incidences could remain below 10/100,000 until 2030 if SIAs were provided to individuals ≥6 years old with at least 50% coverage. These findings will help officials prioritize supplementary vaccination strategies. Public health officials in China should consider adult-to-adult transmissions and provide adult-targeted SIAs. Although officials have reported approximately 90% SIA coverage in the past, SIAs for the adult population should be provided on shorter intervals, particularly for the aging population with decreased immunity.
format article
author Ka Chun Chong
Chi Zhang
Katherine Min Jia
Benny Chung Ying Zee
Tongyong Luo
Lei Wang
Greta Chun Huen Tam
Riyang Sun
Maggie Haitian Wang
Xuhua Guan
author_facet Ka Chun Chong
Chi Zhang
Katherine Min Jia
Benny Chung Ying Zee
Tongyong Luo
Lei Wang
Greta Chun Huen Tam
Riyang Sun
Maggie Haitian Wang
Xuhua Guan
author_sort Ka Chun Chong
title Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
title_short Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
title_full Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
title_fullStr Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
title_full_unstemmed Targeting Adults for Supplementary Immunization Activities of Measles Control in Central China: A Mathematical Modelling Study
title_sort targeting adults for supplementary immunization activities of measles control in central china: a mathematical modelling study
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/45525336f54f40209e06c5cff3e6d303
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