Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP

The signatory countries of the Paris Agreement must submit their updated Intended National Determined Contributions (INDCs) to the UNFCCC secretariat every five years. In Colombia, this activity was historically carried out with a wide set of diverse non-interconnected sector-specific models. Given...

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Autores principales:	Juan David Correa-Laguna, Maarten Pelgrims, Monica Espinosa Valderrama, Ricardo Morales
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	MDPI AG 2021
Materias:	decarbonization INDC LEAP energy modeling long-term scenarios GHG inventory Technology T
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/45ff4c1d0d5844af9bc3570ba0392cf4
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:45ff4c1d0d5844af9bc3570ba0392cf42021-11-11T15:52:54ZColombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP10.3390/en142170781996-1073https://doaj.org/article/45ff4c1d0d5844af9bc3570ba0392cf42021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/21/7078https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073The signatory countries of the Paris Agreement must submit their updated Intended National Determined Contributions (INDCs) to the UNFCCC secretariat every five years. In Colombia, this activity was historically carried out with a wide set of diverse non-interconnected sector-specific models. Given the complexity of GHG emissions reporting and the evaluation of mitigation actions on a national scale, the need for a centralized platform was evident. Such approach would allow the integration and analysis of potential interactions among sectors, as well as to guarantee the homogeneity of assumptions and input parameters. In this paper, we describe the construction of an integrated bottom-up LEAP model tailored to the Colombian case, which covers all IPCC sectors. An integrated model facilitates capturing synergies and intersectoral interactions within the national GHG emissions system. Hence, policies addressing one sector and influencing others are identified and correctly assessed. Thus, 44 mitigation policies and mitigation actions were included in the model, in this way, identifying the sectors directly and being indirectly affected by them. The mitigation scenario developed in this paper reaches a reduction of 28% of GHG emissions compared with the reference scenario. The importance of including non-energy sectors is evident in the Colombian case, as GHG emission reductions are mainly driven by AFOLU. The first section describes the GHG emissions context in Colombia. Next, we describe the model structure, main input parameters, assumptions, considerations, and used LEAP functionalities. Results are presented from a GHG emissions accounting and energy demand perspective. The model allows for the correct estimate of the scope and potential of mitigation actions by considering indirect, unintended emissions reductions in all IPCC categories, as well as synergies with all mitigation actions included in the mitigation scenario. Moreover, the structure of the model is suitable for testing potential emission trajectories, facilitating its adoption by official entities and its application in climate policymaking.Juan David Correa-LagunaMaarten PelgrimsMonica Espinosa ValderramaRicardo MoralesMDPI AGarticledecarbonizationINDCLEAPenergy modelinglong-term scenariosGHG inventoryTechnologyTENEnergies, Vol 14, Iss 7078, p 7078 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	decarbonization INDC LEAP energy modeling long-term scenarios GHG inventory Technology T
spellingShingle	decarbonization INDC LEAP energy modeling long-term scenarios GHG inventory Technology T Juan David Correa-Laguna Maarten Pelgrims Monica Espinosa Valderrama Ricardo Morales Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
description	The signatory countries of the Paris Agreement must submit their updated Intended National Determined Contributions (INDCs) to the UNFCCC secretariat every five years. In Colombia, this activity was historically carried out with a wide set of diverse non-interconnected sector-specific models. Given the complexity of GHG emissions reporting and the evaluation of mitigation actions on a national scale, the need for a centralized platform was evident. Such approach would allow the integration and analysis of potential interactions among sectors, as well as to guarantee the homogeneity of assumptions and input parameters. In this paper, we describe the construction of an integrated bottom-up LEAP model tailored to the Colombian case, which covers all IPCC sectors. An integrated model facilitates capturing synergies and intersectoral interactions within the national GHG emissions system. Hence, policies addressing one sector and influencing others are identified and correctly assessed. Thus, 44 mitigation policies and mitigation actions were included in the model, in this way, identifying the sectors directly and being indirectly affected by them. The mitigation scenario developed in this paper reaches a reduction of 28% of GHG emissions compared with the reference scenario. The importance of including non-energy sectors is evident in the Colombian case, as GHG emission reductions are mainly driven by AFOLU. The first section describes the GHG emissions context in Colombia. Next, we describe the model structure, main input parameters, assumptions, considerations, and used LEAP functionalities. Results are presented from a GHG emissions accounting and energy demand perspective. The model allows for the correct estimate of the scope and potential of mitigation actions by considering indirect, unintended emissions reductions in all IPCC categories, as well as synergies with all mitigation actions included in the mitigation scenario. Moreover, the structure of the model is suitable for testing potential emission trajectories, facilitating its adoption by official entities and its application in climate policymaking.
format	article
author	Juan David Correa-Laguna Maarten Pelgrims Monica Espinosa Valderrama Ricardo Morales
author_facet	Juan David Correa-Laguna Maarten Pelgrims Monica Espinosa Valderrama Ricardo Morales
author_sort	Juan David Correa-Laguna
title	Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
title_short	Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
title_full	Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
title_fullStr	Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
title_full_unstemmed	Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP
title_sort	colombia’s ghg emissions reduction scenario: complete representation of the energy and non-energy sectors in leap
publisher	MDPI AG
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/45ff4c1d0d5844af9bc3570ba0392cf4
work_keys_str_mv	AT juandavidcorrealaguna colombiasghgemissionsreductionscenariocompleterepresentationoftheenergyandnonenergysectorsinleap AT maartenpelgrims colombiasghgemissionsreductionscenariocompleterepresentationoftheenergyandnonenergysectorsinleap AT monicaespinosavalderrama colombiasghgemissionsreductionscenariocompleterepresentationoftheenergyandnonenergysectorsinleap AT ricardomorales colombiasghgemissionsreductionscenariocompleterepresentationoftheenergyandnonenergysectorsinleap
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Colombia’s GHG Emissions Reduction Scenario: Complete Representation of the Energy and Non-Energy Sectors in LEAP

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