Bayesian inference across multiple models suggests a strong increase in lethality of COVID-19 in late 2020 in the UK.
We apply Bayesian inference methods to a suite of distinct compartmental models of generalised SEIR type, in which diagnosis and quarantine are included via extra compartments. We investigate the evidence for a change in lethality of COVID-19 in late autumn 2020 in the UK, using age-structured, week...
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Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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Format: | article |
Language: | EN |
Published: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://doaj.org/article/4698aff553614bc0aa451beaa5974cbf |
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