Bayesian inference across multiple models suggests a strong increase in lethality of COVID-19 in late 2020 in the UK.

We apply Bayesian inference methods to a suite of distinct compartmental models of generalised SEIR type, in which diagnosis and quarantine are included via extra compartments. We investigate the evidence for a change in lethality of COVID-19 in late autumn 2020 in the UK, using age-structured, week...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Patrick Pietzonka, Erik Brorson, William Bankes, Michael E Cates, Robert L Jack, Ronojoy Adhikari
Format: article
Language:EN
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
Subjects:
R
Q
Online Access:https://doaj.org/article/4698aff553614bc0aa451beaa5974cbf
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