Bayesian inference across multiple models suggests a strong increase in lethality of COVID-19 in late 2020 in the UK.
We apply Bayesian inference methods to a suite of distinct compartmental models of generalised SEIR type, in which diagnosis and quarantine are included via extra compartments. We investigate the evidence for a change in lethality of COVID-19 in late autumn 2020 in the UK, using age-structured, week...
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Autores principales: | Patrick Pietzonka, Erik Brorson, William Bankes, Michael E Cates, Robert L Jack, Ronojoy Adhikari |
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Formato: | article |
Lenguaje: | EN |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2021
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/4698aff553614bc0aa451beaa5974cbf |
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