Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model

This paper aims to develop a stochastic model (SM_EID_IOT) for estimating the inundation depths and associated 95% confidence intervals at the specific locations of the roadside water-level gauges, i.e., Internet of Things (IoT) sensors under the observed water levels/rainfalls and the precipitation...

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Autores principales: Shiang-Jen Wu, Chih-Tsu Hsu, Che-Hao Chang
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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ANN
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/46e8c0e8c657495388a3a28f87a9f9b2
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:46e8c0e8c657495388a3a28f87a9f9b22021-11-11T19:58:13ZStochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model10.3390/w132131282073-4441https://doaj.org/article/46e8c0e8c657495388a3a28f87a9f9b22021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/21/3128https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441This paper aims to develop a stochastic model (SM_EID_IOT) for estimating the inundation depths and associated 95% confidence intervals at the specific locations of the roadside water-level gauges, i.e., Internet of Things (IoT) sensors under the observed water levels/rainfalls and the precipitation forecasts given. The proposed SM_EID_IOT model is an ANN-derived one, a modified artificial neural network model (i.e., the ANN_GA-SA_MTF) in which the associated ANN weights are calibrated via a modified genetic algorithm with a variety of transfer functions considered. To enhance the reliability and accuracy of the proposed SM_EID_IOT model in the estimations of the inundation depths at the IoT sensors, a great number of the rainfall induced flood events as the training and validation datasets are simulated by the 2D hydraulic dynamic (SOBEK) model with the simulated rain fields via the stochastic generation model for the short-term gridded rainstorms. According to the results of model demonstration, Nankon catchment, located in northern Taiwan, the proposed SM_EID_IOT model can estimate the inundation depths at the various lead times with high reliability in capturing the validation datasets. Moreover, through the integrated real-time error correction method integrated with the proposed SM_EID_IOT model, the resulting corrected inundation-depth estimates exhibit a good agreement with the validated ones in time under an acceptable bias.Shiang-Jen WuChih-Tsu HsuChe-Hao ChangMDPI AGarticleANNroadside IoT sensorssimulations of the gridded rainstorms2D inundation simulation and real-time error correctionHydraulic engineeringTC1-978Water supply for domestic and industrial purposesTD201-500ENWater, Vol 13, Iss 3128, p 3128 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic ANN
roadside IoT sensors
simulations of the gridded rainstorms
2D inundation simulation and real-time error correction
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
spellingShingle ANN
roadside IoT sensors
simulations of the gridded rainstorms
2D inundation simulation and real-time error correction
Hydraulic engineering
TC1-978
Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
TD201-500
Shiang-Jen Wu
Chih-Tsu Hsu
Che-Hao Chang
Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
description This paper aims to develop a stochastic model (SM_EID_IOT) for estimating the inundation depths and associated 95% confidence intervals at the specific locations of the roadside water-level gauges, i.e., Internet of Things (IoT) sensors under the observed water levels/rainfalls and the precipitation forecasts given. The proposed SM_EID_IOT model is an ANN-derived one, a modified artificial neural network model (i.e., the ANN_GA-SA_MTF) in which the associated ANN weights are calibrated via a modified genetic algorithm with a variety of transfer functions considered. To enhance the reliability and accuracy of the proposed SM_EID_IOT model in the estimations of the inundation depths at the IoT sensors, a great number of the rainfall induced flood events as the training and validation datasets are simulated by the 2D hydraulic dynamic (SOBEK) model with the simulated rain fields via the stochastic generation model for the short-term gridded rainstorms. According to the results of model demonstration, Nankon catchment, located in northern Taiwan, the proposed SM_EID_IOT model can estimate the inundation depths at the various lead times with high reliability in capturing the validation datasets. Moreover, through the integrated real-time error correction method integrated with the proposed SM_EID_IOT model, the resulting corrected inundation-depth estimates exhibit a good agreement with the validated ones in time under an acceptable bias.
format article
author Shiang-Jen Wu
Chih-Tsu Hsu
Che-Hao Chang
author_facet Shiang-Jen Wu
Chih-Tsu Hsu
Che-Hao Chang
author_sort Shiang-Jen Wu
title Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
title_short Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
title_full Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
title_fullStr Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
title_full_unstemmed Stochastic Modeling for Estimating Real-Time Inundation Depths at Roadside IoT Sensors Using the ANN-Derived Model
title_sort stochastic modeling for estimating real-time inundation depths at roadside iot sensors using the ann-derived model
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/46e8c0e8c657495388a3a28f87a9f9b2
work_keys_str_mv AT shiangjenwu stochasticmodelingforestimatingrealtimeinundationdepthsatroadsideiotsensorsusingtheannderivedmodel
AT chihtsuhsu stochasticmodelingforestimatingrealtimeinundationdepthsatroadsideiotsensorsusingtheannderivedmodel
AT chehaochang stochasticmodelingforestimatingrealtimeinundationdepthsatroadsideiotsensorsusingtheannderivedmodel
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