A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures

Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES) provide crucial ecosystem services to over half of humanity. However, populations living in these highly varied regions are now confronted by global change. It is critical that they are able to anticipate change to strategically manage resources and avoid p...

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Autores principales: Jessica P. R. Thorn, Julia A. Klein, Cara Steger, Kelly A. Hopping, Claudia Capitani, Catherine M. Tucker, Anne W. Nolin, Robin S. Reid, Roman Seidl, Vishwas S. Chitale, Robert Marchant
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Publicado: Resilience Alliance 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/47878944bf9a48e886acd18c93930e4a
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:47878944bf9a48e886acd18c93930e4a2021-12-02T14:38:19ZA systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures1708-308710.5751/ES-11608-250306https://doaj.org/article/47878944bf9a48e886acd18c93930e4a2020-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol25/iss3/art6/https://doaj.org/toc/1708-3087Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES) provide crucial ecosystem services to over half of humanity. However, populations living in these highly varied regions are now confronted by global change. It is critical that they are able to anticipate change to strategically manage resources and avoid potential conflict. Yet, planning for sustainable, equitable transitions for the future is a daunting task, considering the range of uncertainties and the unique character of MtSES. Participatory scenario planning (PSP) can help MtSES communities by critically reflecting on a wider array of innovative pathways for adaptive transformation. Although the design of effective approaches has been widely discussed, how PSP has been employed in MtSES has yet to be examined. Here, we present the first systematic global review of single- and multiscalar, multisectoral PSP undertaken in MtSES, in which we characterize the process, identify strengths and gaps, and suggest effective ways to apply PSP in MtSES. We used a nine-step process to help guide the analysis of 42 studies from 1989 screened articles. Our results indicate a steady increase in relevant studies since 2006, with 43% published between 2015 and 2017. These studies encompass 39 countries, with over 50% in Europe. PSP in MtSES is used predominantly to build cooperation, social learning, collaboration, and decision support, yet meeting these objectives is hindered by insufficient engagement with intended end users. MtSES PSP has focused largely on envisioning themes of governance, economy, land use change, and biodiversity, but has overlooked themes such as gender equality, public health, and sanitation. There are many avenues to expand and improve PSP in MtSES: to other regions, sectors, across a greater diversity of stakeholders, and with a specific focus on MtSES paradoxes. Communicating uncertainty, monitoring and evaluating impacts, and engendering more comparative approaches can further increase the utility of PSP for addressing MtSES challenges, with lessons for other complex social-ecological systems.Jessica P. R. ThornJulia A. KleinCara StegerKelly A. HoppingClaudia CapitaniCatherine M. TuckerAnne W. NolinRobin S. ReidRoman SeidlVishwas S. ChitaleRobert MarchantResilience Alliancearticlealpineadaptive transformationcoupled natural-human systemshighlandsmontaneplanetary boundariesstewardshipsustainability sciencetransdisciplinaryBiology (General)QH301-705.5EcologyQH540-549.5ENEcology and Society, Vol 25, Iss 3, p 6 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic alpine
adaptive transformation
coupled natural-human systems
highlands
montane
planetary boundaries
stewardship
sustainability science
transdisciplinary
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Ecology
QH540-549.5
spellingShingle alpine
adaptive transformation
coupled natural-human systems
highlands
montane
planetary boundaries
stewardship
sustainability science
transdisciplinary
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Ecology
QH540-549.5
Jessica P. R. Thorn
Julia A. Klein
Cara Steger
Kelly A. Hopping
Claudia Capitani
Catherine M. Tucker
Anne W. Nolin
Robin S. Reid
Roman Seidl
Vishwas S. Chitale
Robert Marchant
A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
description Mountain social-ecological systems (MtSES) provide crucial ecosystem services to over half of humanity. However, populations living in these highly varied regions are now confronted by global change. It is critical that they are able to anticipate change to strategically manage resources and avoid potential conflict. Yet, planning for sustainable, equitable transitions for the future is a daunting task, considering the range of uncertainties and the unique character of MtSES. Participatory scenario planning (PSP) can help MtSES communities by critically reflecting on a wider array of innovative pathways for adaptive transformation. Although the design of effective approaches has been widely discussed, how PSP has been employed in MtSES has yet to be examined. Here, we present the first systematic global review of single- and multiscalar, multisectoral PSP undertaken in MtSES, in which we characterize the process, identify strengths and gaps, and suggest effective ways to apply PSP in MtSES. We used a nine-step process to help guide the analysis of 42 studies from 1989 screened articles. Our results indicate a steady increase in relevant studies since 2006, with 43% published between 2015 and 2017. These studies encompass 39 countries, with over 50% in Europe. PSP in MtSES is used predominantly to build cooperation, social learning, collaboration, and decision support, yet meeting these objectives is hindered by insufficient engagement with intended end users. MtSES PSP has focused largely on envisioning themes of governance, economy, land use change, and biodiversity, but has overlooked themes such as gender equality, public health, and sanitation. There are many avenues to expand and improve PSP in MtSES: to other regions, sectors, across a greater diversity of stakeholders, and with a specific focus on MtSES paradoxes. Communicating uncertainty, monitoring and evaluating impacts, and engendering more comparative approaches can further increase the utility of PSP for addressing MtSES challenges, with lessons for other complex social-ecological systems.
format article
author Jessica P. R. Thorn
Julia A. Klein
Cara Steger
Kelly A. Hopping
Claudia Capitani
Catherine M. Tucker
Anne W. Nolin
Robin S. Reid
Roman Seidl
Vishwas S. Chitale
Robert Marchant
author_facet Jessica P. R. Thorn
Julia A. Klein
Cara Steger
Kelly A. Hopping
Claudia Capitani
Catherine M. Tucker
Anne W. Nolin
Robin S. Reid
Roman Seidl
Vishwas S. Chitale
Robert Marchant
author_sort Jessica P. R. Thorn
title A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
title_short A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
title_full A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
title_fullStr A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
title_full_unstemmed A systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
title_sort systematic review of participatory scenario planning to envision mountain social-ecological systems futures
publisher Resilience Alliance
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/47878944bf9a48e886acd18c93930e4a
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