CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia

Assessment based on representative farms is an established approach in the modern assessment of the effects of changes in agricultural policy. In line with previous CAP reforms, we can expect income redistribution impacts also with the implementation of the legislative and financial framework of the...

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Autores principales:	Jaka ŽGAJNAR, Luka JUVANČIČ, Stane KAVČIČ, Emil ERJAVEC
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN SL
Publicado:	University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty 2021
Materias:	direct payments cap strategic plan farm model impact assessment Agriculture S
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/47a10872fa1b404797f9a1bdc703cf4b
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:47a10872fa1b404797f9a1bdc703cf4b2021-11-10T09:25:10ZCAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia1581-91751854-194110.14720/aas.2021.117.2.2116https://doaj.org/article/47a10872fa1b404797f9a1bdc703cf4b2021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttp://ojs.aas.bf.uni-lj.si/index.php/AAS/article/view/2116https://doaj.org/toc/1581-9175https://doaj.org/toc/1854-1941Assessment based on representative farms is an established approach in the modern assessment of the effects of changes in agricultural policy. In line with previous CAP reforms, we can expect income redistribution impacts also with the implementation of the legislative and financial framework of the CAP for the next period. This paper discusses a scenario analysis using the farm model. The model is based on linear programming, which enables to address various technological challenges at farm level. We formed the scenarios for the analysis following the example of the scenarios contained in the impact assessment that the European Commission prepared for the CAP after 2020. The analysis involves selected farm types from selected sectors. The results suggest that the expected reduction in the envelope will generally lead to lower farm-level revenues from CAP direct payments. Consequently, economic performance will deteriorate, what is likely to be amplified in some sectors by the abolition of historical payments. The range of consequences at farm level will likely be considerable, especially for sectors and production types with a high share of CAP payments in the structure of total farm income. In certain sectors, however, there is even an improvement regarding the current situation.Jaka ŽGAJNARLuka JUVANČIČStane KAVČIČEmil ERJAVECUniversity of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Facultyarticledirect paymentscap strategic planfarm modelimpact assessmentAgricultureSENSLActa Agriculturae Slovenica, Vol 117, Iss 2, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN SL
topic	direct payments cap strategic plan farm model impact assessment Agriculture S
spellingShingle	direct payments cap strategic plan farm model impact assessment Agriculture S Jaka ŽGAJNAR Luka JUVANČIČ Stane KAVČIČ Emil ERJAVEC CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
description	Assessment based on representative farms is an established approach in the modern assessment of the effects of changes in agricultural policy. In line with previous CAP reforms, we can expect income redistribution impacts also with the implementation of the legislative and financial framework of the CAP for the next period. This paper discusses a scenario analysis using the farm model. The model is based on linear programming, which enables to address various technological challenges at farm level. We formed the scenarios for the analysis following the example of the scenarios contained in the impact assessment that the European Commission prepared for the CAP after 2020. The analysis involves selected farm types from selected sectors. The results suggest that the expected reduction in the envelope will generally lead to lower farm-level revenues from CAP direct payments. Consequently, economic performance will deteriorate, what is likely to be amplified in some sectors by the abolition of historical payments. The range of consequences at farm level will likely be considerable, especially for sectors and production types with a high share of CAP payments in the structure of total farm income. In certain sectors, however, there is even an improvement regarding the current situation.
format	article
author	Jaka ŽGAJNAR Luka JUVANČIČ Stane KAVČIČ Emil ERJAVEC
author_facet	Jaka ŽGAJNAR Luka JUVANČIČ Stane KAVČIČ Emil ERJAVEC
author_sort	Jaka ŽGAJNAR
title	CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
title_short	CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
title_full	CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
title_fullStr	CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
title_full_unstemmed	CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia
title_sort	cap post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in slovenia
publisher	University of Ljubljana, Biotechnical Faculty
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/47a10872fa1b404797f9a1bdc703cf4b
work_keys_str_mv	AT jakazgajnar cappost2022scenariosandincomeimpactsacaseanalysisforselectedtypicalfarmsinslovenia AT lukajuvancic cappost2022scenariosandincomeimpactsacaseanalysisforselectedtypicalfarmsinslovenia AT stanekavcic cappost2022scenariosandincomeimpactsacaseanalysisforselectedtypicalfarmsinslovenia AT emilerjavec cappost2022scenariosandincomeimpactsacaseanalysisforselectedtypicalfarmsinslovenia
_version_	1718440096724680704

CAP post 2022 scenarios and income impacts – a case analysis for selected typical farms in Slovenia

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