Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses

Studies on the prediction of student success in distance learning have explored mainly demographics factors and student interactions with the virtual learning environments. However, it is remarkable that a very limited number of studies use information about the assignments submitted by students as...

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Autores principales: Aurora Esteban, Cristóbal Romero, Amelia Zafra
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:489849b8fbb1446c8d11a2663dea2cfb2021-11-11T15:12:28ZAssignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses10.3390/app1121101452076-3417https://doaj.org/article/489849b8fbb1446c8d11a2663dea2cfb2021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/11/21/10145https://doaj.org/toc/2076-3417Studies on the prediction of student success in distance learning have explored mainly demographics factors and student interactions with the virtual learning environments. However, it is remarkable that a very limited number of studies use information about the assignments submitted by students as influential factor to predict their academic achievement. This paper aims to explore the real importance of assignment information for solving students’ performance prediction in distance learning and evaluate the beneficial effect of including this information. We investigate and compare this factor and its potential from two information representation approaches: the traditional representation based on single instances and a more flexible representation based on Multiple Instance Learning (MIL), focus on handle weakly labeled data. A comparative study is carried out using the Open University Learning Analytics dataset, one of the most important public datasets in education provided by one of the greatest online universities of United Kingdom. The study includes a wide set of different types of machine learning algorithms addressed from the two data representation commented, showing that algorithms using only information about assignments with a representation based on MIL can outperform more than 20% the accuracy with respect to a representation based on single instance learning. Thus, it is concluded that applying an appropriate representation that eliminates the sparseness of data allows to show the relevance of a factor, such as the assignments submitted, not widely used to date to predict students’ academic performance. Moreover, a comparison with previous works on the same dataset and problem shows that predictive models based on MIL using only assignments information obtain competitive results compared to previous studies that include other factors to predict students performance.Aurora EstebanCristóbal RomeroAmelia ZafraMDPI AGarticleMultiple Instance Learningeducational data miningOULADvirtual learning systempredicting performanceTechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040Biology (General)QH301-705.5PhysicsQC1-999ChemistryQD1-999ENApplied Sciences, Vol 11, Iss 10145, p 10145 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Multiple Instance Learning
educational data mining
OULAD
virtual learning system
predicting performance
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Physics
QC1-999
Chemistry
QD1-999
spellingShingle Multiple Instance Learning
educational data mining
OULAD
virtual learning system
predicting performance
Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Biology (General)
QH301-705.5
Physics
QC1-999
Chemistry
QD1-999
Aurora Esteban
Cristóbal Romero
Amelia Zafra
Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
description Studies on the prediction of student success in distance learning have explored mainly demographics factors and student interactions with the virtual learning environments. However, it is remarkable that a very limited number of studies use information about the assignments submitted by students as influential factor to predict their academic achievement. This paper aims to explore the real importance of assignment information for solving students’ performance prediction in distance learning and evaluate the beneficial effect of including this information. We investigate and compare this factor and its potential from two information representation approaches: the traditional representation based on single instances and a more flexible representation based on Multiple Instance Learning (MIL), focus on handle weakly labeled data. A comparative study is carried out using the Open University Learning Analytics dataset, one of the most important public datasets in education provided by one of the greatest online universities of United Kingdom. The study includes a wide set of different types of machine learning algorithms addressed from the two data representation commented, showing that algorithms using only information about assignments with a representation based on MIL can outperform more than 20% the accuracy with respect to a representation based on single instance learning. Thus, it is concluded that applying an appropriate representation that eliminates the sparseness of data allows to show the relevance of a factor, such as the assignments submitted, not widely used to date to predict students’ academic performance. Moreover, a comparison with previous works on the same dataset and problem shows that predictive models based on MIL using only assignments information obtain competitive results compared to previous studies that include other factors to predict students performance.
format article
author Aurora Esteban
Cristóbal Romero
Amelia Zafra
author_facet Aurora Esteban
Cristóbal Romero
Amelia Zafra
author_sort Aurora Esteban
title Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
title_short Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
title_full Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
title_fullStr Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
title_full_unstemmed Assignments as Influential Factor to Improve the Prediction of Student Performance in Online Courses
title_sort assignments as influential factor to improve the prediction of student performance in online courses
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/489849b8fbb1446c8d11a2663dea2cfb
work_keys_str_mv AT auroraesteban assignmentsasinfluentialfactortoimprovethepredictionofstudentperformanceinonlinecourses
AT cristobalromero assignmentsasinfluentialfactortoimprovethepredictionofstudentperformanceinonlinecourses
AT ameliazafra assignmentsasinfluentialfactortoimprovethepredictionofstudentperformanceinonlinecourses
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