Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow

Abstract Studies of the hydroclimate at regional scales rely on spatial rainfall data products, derived from remotely-sensed (RS) and in-situ (IS, rain gauge) observations. Because regional rainfall cannot be directly measured, spatial data products are biased. These biases pose a source of uncertai...

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Autores principales: Morgan C. Levy, Avery Cohn, Alan Vaz Lopes, Sally E. Thompson
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2017
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/48d6c41893f34c7f9520eb856f350f5b
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:48d6c41893f34c7f9520eb856f350f5b2021-12-02T12:32:54ZAddressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow10.1038/s41598-017-00128-52045-2322https://doaj.org/article/48d6c41893f34c7f9520eb856f350f5b2017-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-00128-5https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Studies of the hydroclimate at regional scales rely on spatial rainfall data products, derived from remotely-sensed (RS) and in-situ (IS, rain gauge) observations. Because regional rainfall cannot be directly measured, spatial data products are biased. These biases pose a source of uncertainty in environmental analyses, attributable to the choices made by data-users in selecting a representation of rainfall. We use the rainforest-savanna transition region in Brazil to show differences in the statistics describing rainfall across nine RS and interpolated-IS daily rainfall datasets covering the period of 1998–2013. These differences propagate into estimates of temporal trends in monthly rainfall and descriptive hydroclimate indices. Rainfall trends from different datasets are inconsistent at river basin scales, and the magnitude of index differences is comparable to the estimated bias in global climate model projections. To address this uncertainty, we evaluate the correspondence of different rainfall datasets with streamflow from 89 river basins. We demonstrate that direct empirical comparisons between rainfall and streamflow provide a method for evaluating rainfall dataset performance across multiple areal (basin) units. These results highlight the need for users of rainfall datasets to quantify this “data selection uncertainty” problem, and either justify data use choices, or report the uncertainty in derived results.Morgan C. LevyAvery CohnAlan Vaz LopesSally E. ThompsonNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2017)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Morgan C. Levy
Avery Cohn
Alan Vaz Lopes
Sally E. Thompson
Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
description Abstract Studies of the hydroclimate at regional scales rely on spatial rainfall data products, derived from remotely-sensed (RS) and in-situ (IS, rain gauge) observations. Because regional rainfall cannot be directly measured, spatial data products are biased. These biases pose a source of uncertainty in environmental analyses, attributable to the choices made by data-users in selecting a representation of rainfall. We use the rainforest-savanna transition region in Brazil to show differences in the statistics describing rainfall across nine RS and interpolated-IS daily rainfall datasets covering the period of 1998–2013. These differences propagate into estimates of temporal trends in monthly rainfall and descriptive hydroclimate indices. Rainfall trends from different datasets are inconsistent at river basin scales, and the magnitude of index differences is comparable to the estimated bias in global climate model projections. To address this uncertainty, we evaluate the correspondence of different rainfall datasets with streamflow from 89 river basins. We demonstrate that direct empirical comparisons between rainfall and streamflow provide a method for evaluating rainfall dataset performance across multiple areal (basin) units. These results highlight the need for users of rainfall datasets to quantify this “data selection uncertainty” problem, and either justify data use choices, or report the uncertainty in derived results.
format article
author Morgan C. Levy
Avery Cohn
Alan Vaz Lopes
Sally E. Thompson
author_facet Morgan C. Levy
Avery Cohn
Alan Vaz Lopes
Sally E. Thompson
author_sort Morgan C. Levy
title Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
title_short Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
title_full Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
title_fullStr Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
title_full_unstemmed Addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
title_sort addressing rainfall data selection uncertainty using connections between rainfall and streamflow
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2017
url https://doaj.org/article/48d6c41893f34c7f9520eb856f350f5b
work_keys_str_mv AT morganclevy addressingrainfalldataselectionuncertaintyusingconnectionsbetweenrainfallandstreamflow
AT averycohn addressingrainfalldataselectionuncertaintyusingconnectionsbetweenrainfallandstreamflow
AT alanvazlopes addressingrainfalldataselectionuncertaintyusingconnectionsbetweenrainfallandstreamflow
AT sallyethompson addressingrainfalldataselectionuncertaintyusingconnectionsbetweenrainfallandstreamflow
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