An exponential smoothing method application to restoring lost data on electric power technical record-keeping in industrial enterprises
The paper studies in detail a problem of restoring single data of electric power technical record-keeping systems by means of exponential smoothing. A hypothesis of efficient finding the optimal value of smoothing constant α in the range of 0 < α < 2 is tested. Variation ranges for the mean ab...
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| Formato: | article |
| Lenguaje: | EN RU UK |
| Publicado: |
National Technical University "Kharkiv Polytechnic Institute"
2014
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://doaj.org/article/49478f03b0e9452e9acd3e80a6e5b47d |
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| Sumario: | The paper studies in detail a problem of restoring single data of electric power technical record-keeping systems by means of exponential smoothing. A hypothesis of efficient finding the optimal value of smoothing constant α in the range of 0 < α < 2 is tested. Variation ranges for the mean absolute percentage error of the forecast are specified versus values of the time series variation coefficient for specific electricity consumption processes with different data spread. |
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