Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data

Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as d...

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Autores principales: Karl Fogelmark, Michael A. Lomholt, Anders Irbäck, Tobias Ambjörnsson
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2018
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e2021-12-02T15:07:52ZFitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data10.1038/s41598-018-24983-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e2018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-24983-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as diffusion constants). A commonly overlooked challenge in such function fitting procedures is that fluctuations around mean values, by construction, exhibit temporal correlations. We show that the only available general purpose function fitting methods, correlated chi-square method and the weighted least squares method (which neglects correlation), fail at either robust parameter estimation or accurate error estimation. We remedy this by deriving a new closed-form error estimation formula for weighted least square fitting. The new formula uses the full covariance matrix, i.e., rigorously includes temporal correlations, but is free of the robustness issues, inherent to the correlated chi-square method. We demonstrate its accuracy in four examples of importance in many fields: Brownian motion, damped harmonic oscillation, fractional Brownian motion and continuous time random walks. We also successfully apply our method, weighted least squares including correlation in error estimation (WLS-ICE), to particle tracking data. The WLS-ICE method is applicable to arbitrary fit functions, and we provide a publically available WLS-ICE software.Karl FogelmarkMichael A. LomholtAnders IrbäckTobias AmbjörnssonNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2018)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Karl Fogelmark
Michael A. Lomholt
Anders Irbäck
Tobias Ambjörnsson
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
description Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as diffusion constants). A commonly overlooked challenge in such function fitting procedures is that fluctuations around mean values, by construction, exhibit temporal correlations. We show that the only available general purpose function fitting methods, correlated chi-square method and the weighted least squares method (which neglects correlation), fail at either robust parameter estimation or accurate error estimation. We remedy this by deriving a new closed-form error estimation formula for weighted least square fitting. The new formula uses the full covariance matrix, i.e., rigorously includes temporal correlations, but is free of the robustness issues, inherent to the correlated chi-square method. We demonstrate its accuracy in four examples of importance in many fields: Brownian motion, damped harmonic oscillation, fractional Brownian motion and continuous time random walks. We also successfully apply our method, weighted least squares including correlation in error estimation (WLS-ICE), to particle tracking data. The WLS-ICE method is applicable to arbitrary fit functions, and we provide a publically available WLS-ICE software.
format article
author Karl Fogelmark
Michael A. Lomholt
Anders Irbäck
Tobias Ambjörnsson
author_facet Karl Fogelmark
Michael A. Lomholt
Anders Irbäck
Tobias Ambjörnsson
author_sort Karl Fogelmark
title Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
title_short Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
title_full Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
title_fullStr Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
title_full_unstemmed Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
title_sort fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2018
url https://doaj.org/article/4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e
work_keys_str_mv AT karlfogelmark fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata
AT michaelalomholt fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata
AT andersirback fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata
AT tobiasambjornsson fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata
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