Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data
Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as d...
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Nature Portfolio
2018
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oai:doaj.org-article:4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e2021-12-02T15:07:52ZFitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data10.1038/s41598-018-24983-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e2018-05-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-24983-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as diffusion constants). A commonly overlooked challenge in such function fitting procedures is that fluctuations around mean values, by construction, exhibit temporal correlations. We show that the only available general purpose function fitting methods, correlated chi-square method and the weighted least squares method (which neglects correlation), fail at either robust parameter estimation or accurate error estimation. We remedy this by deriving a new closed-form error estimation formula for weighted least square fitting. The new formula uses the full covariance matrix, i.e., rigorously includes temporal correlations, but is free of the robustness issues, inherent to the correlated chi-square method. We demonstrate its accuracy in four examples of importance in many fields: Brownian motion, damped harmonic oscillation, fractional Brownian motion and continuous time random walks. We also successfully apply our method, weighted least squares including correlation in error estimation (WLS-ICE), to particle tracking data. The WLS-ICE method is applicable to arbitrary fit functions, and we provide a publically available WLS-ICE software.Karl FogelmarkMichael A. LomholtAnders IrbäckTobias AmbjörnssonNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 8, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2018) |
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Medicine R Science Q Karl Fogelmark Michael A. Lomholt Anders Irbäck Tobias Ambjörnsson Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
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Abstract Time-dependent ensemble averages, i.e., trajectory-based averages of some observable, are of importance in many fields of science. A crucial objective when interpreting such data is to fit these averages (for instance, squared displacements) with a function and extract parameters (such as diffusion constants). A commonly overlooked challenge in such function fitting procedures is that fluctuations around mean values, by construction, exhibit temporal correlations. We show that the only available general purpose function fitting methods, correlated chi-square method and the weighted least squares method (which neglects correlation), fail at either robust parameter estimation or accurate error estimation. We remedy this by deriving a new closed-form error estimation formula for weighted least square fitting. The new formula uses the full covariance matrix, i.e., rigorously includes temporal correlations, but is free of the robustness issues, inherent to the correlated chi-square method. We demonstrate its accuracy in four examples of importance in many fields: Brownian motion, damped harmonic oscillation, fractional Brownian motion and continuous time random walks. We also successfully apply our method, weighted least squares including correlation in error estimation (WLS-ICE), to particle tracking data. The WLS-ICE method is applicable to arbitrary fit functions, and we provide a publically available WLS-ICE software. |
format |
article |
author |
Karl Fogelmark Michael A. Lomholt Anders Irbäck Tobias Ambjörnsson |
author_facet |
Karl Fogelmark Michael A. Lomholt Anders Irbäck Tobias Ambjörnsson |
author_sort |
Karl Fogelmark |
title |
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
title_short |
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
title_full |
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
title_fullStr |
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
title_full_unstemmed |
Fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
title_sort |
fitting a function to time-dependent ensemble averaged data |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/4bf7b352ae46409b8ae46a9f37d8019e |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT karlfogelmark fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata AT michaelalomholt fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata AT andersirback fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata AT tobiasambjornsson fittingafunctiontotimedependentensembleaverageddata |
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1718388382224089088 |