Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development

The article states that in our country considerable experience has been gained in forecasting and planning work, the formation of which is based on certain methodological approaches that undergo transformation at different historical stages. The purpose of the article is to assess the features of th...

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Autor principal: Yu. I. Busheneva
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
RU
Publicado: North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/4d4694990ac5457ca557030bf14cb4c3
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:4d4694990ac5457ca557030bf14cb4c32021-11-12T10:46:13ZCyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development1726-11391816-859010.22394/1726-1139-2020-11-49-62https://doaj.org/article/4d4694990ac5457ca557030bf14cb4c32021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1569https://doaj.org/toc/1726-1139https://doaj.org/toc/1816-8590The article states that in our country considerable experience has been gained in forecasting and planning work, the formation of which is based on certain methodological approaches that undergo transformation at different historical stages. The purpose of the article is to assess the features of the development of the forecasting and planning methodology of the domestic national economy in various historical periods of time.Based on the analysis of historical facts, the author’s expert assessment and graphic modeling techniques, a cyclic model and a map for assessing the predictive development potential of the forecasting and planning methodology of the domestic national economy are developed, which differs by identifying the stages in the development of forecasted and planned work depending on the nature of the obligatory execution, the depth of the impact of forecasts and plans for economic development, resource methods, predictability of the future.The results of the study can be applied in the activities of government to improve the quality of forecasting and planning work, to determine the turning points of phase shifts in the development of the forecasting and planning methodology.Yu. I. BushenevaNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration articlemethodologyplanningforecastingcyclic modelpredictive potentialPolitical institutions and public administration (General)JF20-2112ENRUУправленческое консультирование, Vol 0, Iss 11, Pp 49-62 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
RU
topic methodology
planning
forecasting
cyclic model
predictive potential
Political institutions and public administration (General)
JF20-2112
spellingShingle methodology
planning
forecasting
cyclic model
predictive potential
Political institutions and public administration (General)
JF20-2112
Yu. I. Busheneva
Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
description The article states that in our country considerable experience has been gained in forecasting and planning work, the formation of which is based on certain methodological approaches that undergo transformation at different historical stages. The purpose of the article is to assess the features of the development of the forecasting and planning methodology of the domestic national economy in various historical periods of time.Based on the analysis of historical facts, the author’s expert assessment and graphic modeling techniques, a cyclic model and a map for assessing the predictive development potential of the forecasting and planning methodology of the domestic national economy are developed, which differs by identifying the stages in the development of forecasted and planned work depending on the nature of the obligatory execution, the depth of the impact of forecasts and plans for economic development, resource methods, predictability of the future.The results of the study can be applied in the activities of government to improve the quality of forecasting and planning work, to determine the turning points of phase shifts in the development of the forecasting and planning methodology.
format article
author Yu. I. Busheneva
author_facet Yu. I. Busheneva
author_sort Yu. I. Busheneva
title Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
title_short Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
title_full Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
title_fullStr Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
title_full_unstemmed Cyclic Model and Map for Estimating Predictive Potential of Prognostic-Planning Methodology Development
title_sort cyclic model and map for estimating predictive potential of prognostic-planning methodology development
publisher North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/4d4694990ac5457ca557030bf14cb4c3
work_keys_str_mv AT yuibusheneva cyclicmodelandmapforestimatingpredictivepotentialofprognosticplanningmethodologydevelopment
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