Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach

In this study, five hydrological models, including the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT), identification of unit hydrograph and component flows from rainfall, evapotranspiration, and streamflow (IHACRES), Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV), Australian water balance model (AWBM), and...

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Autores principales: Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani, Morteza Lotfirad, Masoud Soori Damirchi Sofla, Afshin Ashrafzadeh
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Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:4e0bc03d31c84ca88ef2027f0b85cec82021-11-09T23:59:59ZImproving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2021.064https://doaj.org/article/4e0bc03d31c84ca88ef2027f0b85cec82021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/7/3308https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354In this study, five hydrological models, including the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT), identification of unit hydrograph and component flows from rainfall, evapotranspiration, and streamflow (IHACRES), Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV), Australian water balance model (AWBM), and Soil Moisture Accounting (SMA), were used to simulate the flow of the Hablehroud River, north-central Iran. All the models were validated based on the root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NS), and Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE). It was found that SWAT, IHACRES, and HBV had satisfactory results in the calibration phase. However, only the SWAT model had good performance in the validation phase and outperformed the other models. It was also observed that peak flows were generally underestimated by the models. The sensitivity analysis results of the model parameters were also evaluated. A hybrid model was developed using gene expression programming (GEP). According to the error measures, the ensemble model had the best performance in both calibration (NS = 0.79) and validation (NS = 0.56). The GEP combination method can combine model outputs from less accurate individual models and produce a superior river flow estimate. HIGHLIGHTS The semi-distributed entirely conceptual model (SWAT) had relatively better performance than the lumped semi-conceptual models (IHACRES, HBV light, AWBM, and SMA).; The GEP was used to construct a hybrid model by ensembling the five calibrated hydrological models to improve the results.; The ensemble models and SWAT yielded high flow and low flow calculations close to the observed data in both the calibration and validation phases.;Hassan Esmaeili-GisavandaniMorteza LotfiradMasoud Soori Damirchi SoflaAfshin AshrafzadehIWA Publishingarticlehybrid modelstreamflow simulationwatershed modelingEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 7, Pp 3308-3329 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic hybrid model
streamflow simulation
watershed modeling
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle hybrid model
streamflow simulation
watershed modeling
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani
Morteza Lotfirad
Masoud Soori Damirchi Sofla
Afshin Ashrafzadeh
Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
description In this study, five hydrological models, including the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT), identification of unit hydrograph and component flows from rainfall, evapotranspiration, and streamflow (IHACRES), Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV), Australian water balance model (AWBM), and Soil Moisture Accounting (SMA), were used to simulate the flow of the Hablehroud River, north-central Iran. All the models were validated based on the root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NS), and Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE). It was found that SWAT, IHACRES, and HBV had satisfactory results in the calibration phase. However, only the SWAT model had good performance in the validation phase and outperformed the other models. It was also observed that peak flows were generally underestimated by the models. The sensitivity analysis results of the model parameters were also evaluated. A hybrid model was developed using gene expression programming (GEP). According to the error measures, the ensemble model had the best performance in both calibration (NS = 0.79) and validation (NS = 0.56). The GEP combination method can combine model outputs from less accurate individual models and produce a superior river flow estimate. HIGHLIGHTS The semi-distributed entirely conceptual model (SWAT) had relatively better performance than the lumped semi-conceptual models (IHACRES, HBV light, AWBM, and SMA).; The GEP was used to construct a hybrid model by ensembling the five calibrated hydrological models to improve the results.; The ensemble models and SWAT yielded high flow and low flow calculations close to the observed data in both the calibration and validation phases.;
format article
author Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani
Morteza Lotfirad
Masoud Soori Damirchi Sofla
Afshin Ashrafzadeh
author_facet Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani
Morteza Lotfirad
Masoud Soori Damirchi Sofla
Afshin Ashrafzadeh
author_sort Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani
title Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
title_short Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
title_full Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
title_fullStr Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
title_full_unstemmed Improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
title_sort improving the performance of rainfall-runoff models using the gene expression programming approach
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/4e0bc03d31c84ca88ef2027f0b85cec8
work_keys_str_mv AT hassanesmaeiligisavandani improvingtheperformanceofrainfallrunoffmodelsusingthegeneexpressionprogrammingapproach
AT mortezalotfirad improvingtheperformanceofrainfallrunoffmodelsusingthegeneexpressionprogrammingapproach
AT masoudsooridamirchisofla improvingtheperformanceofrainfallrunoffmodelsusingthegeneexpressionprogrammingapproach
AT afshinashrafzadeh improvingtheperformanceofrainfallrunoffmodelsusingthegeneexpressionprogrammingapproach
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