Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain
Using a unique database, this paper examines the interconnection among stress indicators of the Spanish financial markets during the period of January 1999 to April 2021, applying both the connectedness framework and the Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive connectedness approach. Our result...
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2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:4ed82bfeac9d4ba1be6fd21e86b49cfd2021-11-25T18:08:34ZStress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain10.3390/jrfm141105271911-80741911-8066https://doaj.org/article/4ed82bfeac9d4ba1be6fd21e86b49cfd2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/14/11/527https://doaj.org/toc/1911-8066https://doaj.org/toc/1911-8074Using a unique database, this paper examines the interconnection among stress indicators of the Spanish financial markets during the period of January 1999 to April 2021, applying both the connectedness framework and the Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive connectedness approach. Our results suggest that 15.67% of the total variance of forecast errors was explained by shocks across the six financial market stress indices examined, indicating that the remaining 84.33% of variation was due to idiosyncratic shocks. Nevertheless, we find that stress connectedness varies over time, with a surge during periods of increasing economic and financial instability, mainly driven by high levels of pandemic and economy policy uncertainty and real economy worsening. Financial intermediaries were the main generators of stress during three out of four recent major financial crises in Spain, while their role as stress transmitters to other markets has been reduced since the onset of the COVID-19 health crisis. Our results also indicate that the COVID-19 outbreak represents a relevant event in the transmission of stress among all market segments.Julián Andrada-FélixAdrian Fernandez-PerezSimón Sosvilla-RiveroMDPI AGarticlefinancial marketsfinancial stress indexsystemic riskconnectednesstime-varying parametersCOVID-19Risk in industry. Risk managementHD61FinanceHG1-9999ENJournal of Risk and Financial Management, Vol 14, Iss 527, p 527 (2021) |
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DOAJ |
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financial markets financial stress index systemic risk connectedness time-varying parameters COVID-19 Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 Finance HG1-9999 |
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financial markets financial stress index systemic risk connectedness time-varying parameters COVID-19 Risk in industry. Risk management HD61 Finance HG1-9999 Julián Andrada-Félix Adrian Fernandez-Perez Simón Sosvilla-Rivero Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
description |
Using a unique database, this paper examines the interconnection among stress indicators of the Spanish financial markets during the period of January 1999 to April 2021, applying both the connectedness framework and the Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive connectedness approach. Our results suggest that 15.67% of the total variance of forecast errors was explained by shocks across the six financial market stress indices examined, indicating that the remaining 84.33% of variation was due to idiosyncratic shocks. Nevertheless, we find that stress connectedness varies over time, with a surge during periods of increasing economic and financial instability, mainly driven by high levels of pandemic and economy policy uncertainty and real economy worsening. Financial intermediaries were the main generators of stress during three out of four recent major financial crises in Spain, while their role as stress transmitters to other markets has been reduced since the onset of the COVID-19 health crisis. Our results also indicate that the COVID-19 outbreak represents a relevant event in the transmission of stress among all market segments. |
format |
article |
author |
Julián Andrada-Félix Adrian Fernandez-Perez Simón Sosvilla-Rivero |
author_facet |
Julián Andrada-Félix Adrian Fernandez-Perez Simón Sosvilla-Rivero |
author_sort |
Julián Andrada-Félix |
title |
Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
title_short |
Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
title_full |
Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
title_fullStr |
Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
title_full_unstemmed |
Stress Spillovers among Financial Markets: Evidence from Spain |
title_sort |
stress spillovers among financial markets: evidence from spain |
publisher |
MDPI AG |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/4ed82bfeac9d4ba1be6fd21e86b49cfd |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT julianandradafelix stressspilloversamongfinancialmarketsevidencefromspain AT adrianfernandezperez stressspilloversamongfinancialmarketsevidencefromspain AT simonsosvillarivero stressspilloversamongfinancialmarketsevidencefromspain |
_version_ |
1718411557430362112 |