System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation

Currently, the role of forecasting and modeling is increasing significantly, due to the introduction of project management. Forecasts are developed at different levels of governance, are the basis for compiling regional budgets, allow the variable to anticipate future developments and to timely miti...

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Autores principales:	E. V. Smirennikova, A. V. Ukhanova, L. V. Voronina
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN RU
Publicado:	North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration 2019
Materias:	models forecasting socio-economic development arctic zone of the russian federation Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/4f8d6eb4de694ad6a104e30fafaef089
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:4f8d6eb4de694ad6a104e30fafaef0892021-11-12T10:46:11ZSystem of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation1726-11391816-859010.22394/1726-1139-2019-12-142-157https://doaj.org/article/4f8d6eb4de694ad6a104e30fafaef0892019-12-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.acjournal.ru/jour/article/view/1257https://doaj.org/toc/1726-1139https://doaj.org/toc/1816-8590Currently, the role of forecasting and modeling is increasing significantly, due to the introduction of project management. Forecasts are developed at different levels of governance, are the basis for compiling regional budgets, allow the variable to anticipate future developments and to timely mitigate negative effects on the territory. Despite this, some areas of our country still do not have forecasts and models of socio-economic development. One of the strategic priorities of the Russian Federation is the development and development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the balanced regional development of the country. For three groups of the selected Arctic regions developed their own indicators to build the most reliable and high-quality forecasts of socio-economic development. The indicators of development of the Arctic socio-ecological and economic systems are determined: real GRP (in prices of one year), average annual population and emissions of pollutants into the air from stationary sources. The paper proposes a system of forecasting models of socio-economic development of the regions of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, which will build the most reliable and high-quality forecasts, which in turn can significantly improve the efficiency of public administration and spending of funds.E. V. SmirennikovaA. V. UkhanovaL. V. VoroninaNorth-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration articlemodelsforecastingsocio-economic developmentarctic zone of the russian federationPolitical institutions and public administration (General)JF20-2112ENRUУправленческое консультирование, Vol 0, Iss 12, Pp 142-157 (2019)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN RU
topic	models forecasting socio-economic development arctic zone of the russian federation Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112
spellingShingle	models forecasting socio-economic development arctic zone of the russian federation Political institutions and public administration (General) JF20-2112 E. V. Smirennikova A. V. Ukhanova L. V. Voronina System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
description	Currently, the role of forecasting and modeling is increasing significantly, due to the introduction of project management. Forecasts are developed at different levels of governance, are the basis for compiling regional budgets, allow the variable to anticipate future developments and to timely mitigate negative effects on the territory. Despite this, some areas of our country still do not have forecasts and models of socio-economic development. One of the strategic priorities of the Russian Federation is the development and development of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation for the balanced regional development of the country. For three groups of the selected Arctic regions developed their own indicators to build the most reliable and high-quality forecasts of socio-economic development. The indicators of development of the Arctic socio-ecological and economic systems are determined: real GRP (in prices of one year), average annual population and emissions of pollutants into the air from stationary sources. The paper proposes a system of forecasting models of socio-economic development of the regions of the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation, which will build the most reliable and high-quality forecasts, which in turn can significantly improve the efficiency of public administration and spending of funds.
format	article
author	E. V. Smirennikova A. V. Ukhanova L. V. Voronina
author_facet	E. V. Smirennikova A. V. Ukhanova L. V. Voronina
author_sort	E. V. Smirennikova
title	System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
title_short	System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
title_full	System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
title_fullStr	System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
title_full_unstemmed	System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation
title_sort	system of models of forecasting of social and economic development of regions of the arctic zone of the russian federation
publisher	North-West institute of management of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
publishDate	2019
url	https://doaj.org/article/4f8d6eb4de694ad6a104e30fafaef089
work_keys_str_mv	AT evsmirennikova systemofmodelsofforecastingofsocialandeconomicdevelopmentofregionsofthearcticzoneoftherussianfederation AT avukhanova systemofmodelsofforecastingofsocialandeconomicdevelopmentofregionsofthearcticzoneoftherussianfederation AT lvvoronina systemofmodelsofforecastingofsocialandeconomicdevelopmentofregionsofthearcticzoneoftherussianfederation
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System of Models of Forecasting of Social and Economic Development of Regions of the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation

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