Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion

Global change drivers such as land use and climate changes are known to interact in their effects on biodiversity. The impact of these drivers on global biodiversity is increasingly evident in many forms including the spread of invasive species. Climate and land use changes affect introduction, colo...

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Autores principales:	Syed Amir Manzoor, Geoffrey Griffiths, Martin Lukac
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Elsevier 2021
Materias:	Biological invasion Climate change Invasive species Land use change Rhododendron Ecology QH540-549.5
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/5037269ef3f74b6ca3f5c19d739b4823
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:5037269ef3f74b6ca3f5c19d739b48232021-12-01T04:29:52ZLand use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion1470-160X10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106936https://doaj.org/article/5037269ef3f74b6ca3f5c19d739b48232021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X2030875Xhttps://doaj.org/toc/1470-160XGlobal change drivers such as land use and climate changes are known to interact in their effects on biodiversity. The impact of these drivers on global biodiversity is increasingly evident in many forms including the spread of invasive species. Climate and land use changes affect introduction, colonization and spread of invasive species by affecting niche availability and dispersal potential. We tested the combined effects of land use and climate changes on the current and future habitat suitability of Rhododendron ponticum in Wales using a MaxEnt-based ecological niche model. We used two policy-driven land use change projections for Wales, in combination with two General Circulation Models and two Representative Concentration Pathways to derive eight different land use and climate change scenarios. In seven out of eight scenarios, the habitat suitability for R. ponticum is likely to reduce by 2030. However, in the eighth scenario representing an extreme where land use change and greenhouse gas emissions both accelerate, the interaction of land use and climate change forces an increase of habitat suitability of R. ponticum. The study highlights the importance of considering the combined effect of land use and climate change and including regional policy-based land use change projections to test the potential of an invasive species to expand or retreat in future.Syed Amir ManzoorGeoffrey GriffithsMartin LukacElsevierarticleBiological invasionClimate changeInvasive speciesLand use changeRhododendronEcologyQH540-549.5ENEcological Indicators, Vol 120, Iss , Pp 106936- (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Biological invasion Climate change Invasive species Land use change Rhododendron Ecology QH540-549.5
spellingShingle	Biological invasion Climate change Invasive species Land use change Rhododendron Ecology QH540-549.5 Syed Amir Manzoor Geoffrey Griffiths Martin Lukac Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
description	Global change drivers such as land use and climate changes are known to interact in their effects on biodiversity. The impact of these drivers on global biodiversity is increasingly evident in many forms including the spread of invasive species. Climate and land use changes affect introduction, colonization and spread of invasive species by affecting niche availability and dispersal potential. We tested the combined effects of land use and climate changes on the current and future habitat suitability of Rhododendron ponticum in Wales using a MaxEnt-based ecological niche model. We used two policy-driven land use change projections for Wales, in combination with two General Circulation Models and two Representative Concentration Pathways to derive eight different land use and climate change scenarios. In seven out of eight scenarios, the habitat suitability for R. ponticum is likely to reduce by 2030. However, in the eighth scenario representing an extreme where land use change and greenhouse gas emissions both accelerate, the interaction of land use and climate change forces an increase of habitat suitability of R. ponticum. The study highlights the importance of considering the combined effect of land use and climate change and including regional policy-based land use change projections to test the potential of an invasive species to expand or retreat in future.
format	article
author	Syed Amir Manzoor Geoffrey Griffiths Martin Lukac
author_facet	Syed Amir Manzoor Geoffrey Griffiths Martin Lukac
author_sort	Syed Amir Manzoor
title	Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
title_short	Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
title_full	Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
title_fullStr	Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
title_full_unstemmed	Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
title_sort	land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion
publisher	Elsevier
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/5037269ef3f74b6ca3f5c19d739b4823
work_keys_str_mv	AT syedamirmanzoor landuseandclimatechangeinteractiontriggerscontrastingtrajectoriesofbiologicalinvasion AT geoffreygriffiths landuseandclimatechangeinteractiontriggerscontrastingtrajectoriesofbiologicalinvasion AT martinlukac landuseandclimatechangeinteractiontriggerscontrastingtrajectoriesofbiologicalinvasion
_version_	1718405841859641344

Land use and climate change interaction triggers contrasting trajectories of biological invasion

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