Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR

Abstract Forest-going populations are key to malaria transmission in the Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) and are therefore targeted for elimination efforts. Estimating the size of this population is essential for programs to assess, track and achieve their elimination goals. Leveraging data from thr...

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Autores principales:	Francois Rerolle, Jerry O. Jacobson, Paul Wesson, Emily Dantzer, Andrew A. Lover, Bouasy Hongvanthong, Jennifer Smith, John M. Marshall, Hugh J. W. Sturrock, Adam Bennett
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/51cda9f05a004fea93fc0759be652619
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:51cda9f05a004fea93fc0759be6526192021-12-02T16:17:21ZPopulation size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR10.1038/s41598-021-94413-z2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/51cda9f05a004fea93fc0759be6526192021-07-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-94413-zhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Forest-going populations are key to malaria transmission in the Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) and are therefore targeted for elimination efforts. Estimating the size of this population is essential for programs to assess, track and achieve their elimination goals. Leveraging data from three cross-sectional household surveys and one survey among forest-goers, the size of this high-risk population in a southern province of Lao PDR between December 2017 and November 2018 was estimated by two methods: population-based household surveys and capture–recapture. During the first month of the dry season, the first month of the rainy season, and the last month of the rainy season, respectively, 16.2% [14.7; 17.7], 9.3% [7.2; 11.3], and 5.3% [4.4; 6.1] of the adult population were estimated to have engaged in forest-going activities. The capture–recapture method estimated a total population size of 18,426 [16,529; 20,669] forest-goers, meaning 61.0% [54.2; 67.9] of the adult population had engaged in forest-going activities over the 12-month study period. This study demonstrates two methods for population size estimation to inform malaria research and programming. The seasonality and turnover within this forest-going population provide unique opportunities and challenges for control programs across the GMS as they work towards malaria elimination.Francois RerolleJerry O. JacobsonPaul WessonEmily DantzerAndrew A. LoverBouasy HongvanthongJennifer SmithJohn M. MarshallHugh J. W. SturrockAdam BennettNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Francois Rerolle Jerry O. Jacobson Paul Wesson Emily Dantzer Andrew A. Lover Bouasy Hongvanthong Jennifer Smith John M. Marshall Hugh J. W. Sturrock Adam Bennett Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
description	Abstract Forest-going populations are key to malaria transmission in the Greater Mekong Sub-region (GMS) and are therefore targeted for elimination efforts. Estimating the size of this population is essential for programs to assess, track and achieve their elimination goals. Leveraging data from three cross-sectional household surveys and one survey among forest-goers, the size of this high-risk population in a southern province of Lao PDR between December 2017 and November 2018 was estimated by two methods: population-based household surveys and capture–recapture. During the first month of the dry season, the first month of the rainy season, and the last month of the rainy season, respectively, 16.2% [14.7; 17.7], 9.3% [7.2; 11.3], and 5.3% [4.4; 6.1] of the adult population were estimated to have engaged in forest-going activities. The capture–recapture method estimated a total population size of 18,426 [16,529; 20,669] forest-goers, meaning 61.0% [54.2; 67.9] of the adult population had engaged in forest-going activities over the 12-month study period. This study demonstrates two methods for population size estimation to inform malaria research and programming. The seasonality and turnover within this forest-going population provide unique opportunities and challenges for control programs across the GMS as they work towards malaria elimination.
format	article
author	Francois Rerolle Jerry O. Jacobson Paul Wesson Emily Dantzer Andrew A. Lover Bouasy Hongvanthong Jennifer Smith John M. Marshall Hugh J. W. Sturrock Adam Bennett
author_facet	Francois Rerolle Jerry O. Jacobson Paul Wesson Emily Dantzer Andrew A. Lover Bouasy Hongvanthong Jennifer Smith John M. Marshall Hugh J. W. Sturrock Adam Bennett
author_sort	Francois Rerolle
title	Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
title_short	Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
title_full	Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
title_fullStr	Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
title_full_unstemmed	Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR
title_sort	population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern lao pdr
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/51cda9f05a004fea93fc0759be652619
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Population size estimation of seasonal forest-going populations in southern Lao PDR

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