COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis

Abstract This paper analyzes the impact of mobility contraction on employee furlough and excess deaths in Italy during the COVID-19 crisis. Our approach exploits rainfall patterns across Italian administrative regions as a source of exogenous variation in human mobility to pinpoint the causal effect...

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Autores principales:	Valentina Pieroni, Angelo Facchini, Massimo Riccaboni
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/5214669dc5ff414dbfa5c0f17f0c2cba
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:5214669dc5ff414dbfa5c0f17f0c2cba2021-12-02T18:02:15ZCOVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis10.1038/s41598-021-97462-62045-2322https://doaj.org/article/5214669dc5ff414dbfa5c0f17f0c2cba2021-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-97462-6https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract This paper analyzes the impact of mobility contraction on employee furlough and excess deaths in Italy during the COVID-19 crisis. Our approach exploits rainfall patterns across Italian administrative regions as a source of exogenous variation in human mobility to pinpoint the causal effect of mobility restrictions on excess deaths and furlough workers. Results confirm that the first countrywide lockdown has effectively curtailed the COVID-19 epidemics restricting it mainly to the northern part of the country, with the drawback of a countrywide increase in unemployment risk. Our analysis points out that a mobility contraction of 1% leads to a mortality reduction of 0.6%, but it induces an increase of 10% in Wage Guarantee Funds allowed hours. We discuss return-to-work policies and prioritizing policies for administering COVID-19 vaccines in the most advanced stage of a vaccination campaign when the healthy active population is left to be vaccinated.Valentina PieroniAngelo FacchiniMassimo RiccaboniNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Valentina Pieroni Angelo Facchini Massimo Riccaboni COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
description	Abstract This paper analyzes the impact of mobility contraction on employee furlough and excess deaths in Italy during the COVID-19 crisis. Our approach exploits rainfall patterns across Italian administrative regions as a source of exogenous variation in human mobility to pinpoint the causal effect of mobility restrictions on excess deaths and furlough workers. Results confirm that the first countrywide lockdown has effectively curtailed the COVID-19 epidemics restricting it mainly to the northern part of the country, with the drawback of a countrywide increase in unemployment risk. Our analysis points out that a mobility contraction of 1% leads to a mortality reduction of 0.6%, but it induces an increase of 10% in Wage Guarantee Funds allowed hours. We discuss return-to-work policies and prioritizing policies for administering COVID-19 vaccines in the most advanced stage of a vaccination campaign when the healthy active population is left to be vaccinated.
format	article
author	Valentina Pieroni Angelo Facchini Massimo Riccaboni
author_facet	Valentina Pieroni Angelo Facchini Massimo Riccaboni
author_sort	Valentina Pieroni
title	COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
title_short	COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
title_full	COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
title_fullStr	COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
title_full_unstemmed	COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis
title_sort	covid-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the italian crisis
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/5214669dc5ff414dbfa5c0f17f0c2cba
work_keys_str_mv	AT valentinapieroni covid19vaccinationandunemploymentrisklessonsfromtheitaliancrisis AT angelofacchini covid19vaccinationandunemploymentrisklessonsfromtheitaliancrisis AT massimoriccaboni covid19vaccinationandunemploymentrisklessonsfromtheitaliancrisis
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COVID-19 vaccination and unemployment risk: lessons from the Italian crisis

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