Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness

Abstract The response of tropical cyclone (TC) destructive potential to global warming is an open issue. A number of previous studies have ignored the effect of TC size change in the context of global warming, which resulted in a significant underestimation of the TC destructive potential. The lack...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Yuan Sun, Zhong Zhong, Tim Li, Lan Yi, Yijia Hu, Hongchao Wan, Haishan Chen, Qianfeng Liao, Chen Ma, Qihua Li
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2017
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/52242e6a7c394a47b2a419e5c20bc0a6
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:52242e6a7c394a47b2a419e5c20bc0a6
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:52242e6a7c394a47b2a419e5c20bc0a62021-12-02T15:05:21ZImpact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness10.1038/s41598-017-08533-62045-2322https://doaj.org/article/52242e6a7c394a47b2a419e5c20bc0a62017-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-08533-6https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The response of tropical cyclone (TC) destructive potential to global warming is an open issue. A number of previous studies have ignored the effect of TC size change in the context of global warming, which resulted in a significant underestimation of the TC destructive potential. The lack of reliable and consistent historical data on TC size limits the confident estimation of the linkage between the observed trend in TC size and that in sea surface temperature (SST) under the background of global climate warming. A regional atmospheric model is used in the present study to investigate the response of TC size and TC destructive potential to increases in SST. The results show that a large-scale ocean warming can lead to not only TC intensification but also TC expansion. The TC size increase in response to the ocean warming is possibly attributed to the increase in atmospheric convective instability in the TC outer region below the middle troposphere, which facilitates the local development of grid-scale ascending motion, low-level convergence and the acceleration of tangential winds. The numerical results indicate that TCs will become stronger, larger, and unexpectedly more destructive under global warming.Yuan SunZhong ZhongTim LiLan YiYijia HuHongchao WanHaishan ChenQianfeng LiaoChen MaQihua LiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Yuan Sun Zhong Zhong Tim Li Lan Yi Yijia Hu Hongchao Wan Haishan Chen Qianfeng Liao Chen Ma Qihua Li Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
description	Abstract The response of tropical cyclone (TC) destructive potential to global warming is an open issue. A number of previous studies have ignored the effect of TC size change in the context of global warming, which resulted in a significant underestimation of the TC destructive potential. The lack of reliable and consistent historical data on TC size limits the confident estimation of the linkage between the observed trend in TC size and that in sea surface temperature (SST) under the background of global climate warming. A regional atmospheric model is used in the present study to investigate the response of TC size and TC destructive potential to increases in SST. The results show that a large-scale ocean warming can lead to not only TC intensification but also TC expansion. The TC size increase in response to the ocean warming is possibly attributed to the increase in atmospheric convective instability in the TC outer region below the middle troposphere, which facilitates the local development of grid-scale ascending motion, low-level convergence and the acceleration of tangential winds. The numerical results indicate that TCs will become stronger, larger, and unexpectedly more destructive under global warming.
format	article
author	Yuan Sun Zhong Zhong Tim Li Lan Yi Yijia Hu Hongchao Wan Haishan Chen Qianfeng Liao Chen Ma Qihua Li
author_facet	Yuan Sun Zhong Zhong Tim Li Lan Yi Yijia Hu Hongchao Wan Haishan Chen Qianfeng Liao Chen Ma Qihua Li
author_sort	Yuan Sun
title	Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
title_short	Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
title_full	Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
title_fullStr	Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
title_full_unstemmed	Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness
title_sort	impact of ocean warming on tropical cyclone size and its destructiveness
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2017
url	https://doaj.org/article/52242e6a7c394a47b2a419e5c20bc0a6
work_keys_str_mv	AT yuansun impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT zhongzhong impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT timli impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT lanyi impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT yijiahu impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT hongchaowan impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT haishanchen impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT qianfengliao impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT chenma impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness AT qihuali impactofoceanwarmingontropicalcyclonesizeanditsdestructiveness
_version_	1718388828412051456

Impact of Ocean Warming on Tropical Cyclone Size and Its Destructiveness

Ejemplares similares