Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil

Abstract Deforestation of the Amazon rainforest is a threat to global climate, biodiversity, and many other ecosystem services. In order to address this threat, an understanding of the drivers of deforestation processes is required. Spillover effects and factors that differ across locations and over...

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Autores principales:	Nikolas Kuschnig, Jesús Crespo Cuaresma, Tamás Krisztin, Stefan Giljum
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/564b09e247e44a809c3f70e0a5f0af22
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:564b09e247e44a809c3f70e0a5f0af222021-11-14T12:20:03ZSpatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil10.1038/s41598-021-00861-y2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/564b09e247e44a809c3f70e0a5f0af222021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-00861-yhttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Deforestation of the Amazon rainforest is a threat to global climate, biodiversity, and many other ecosystem services. In order to address this threat, an understanding of the drivers of deforestation processes is required. Spillover effects and factors that differ across locations and over time play important roles in these processes. They are largely disregarded in applied research and thus in the design of evidence-based policies. In this study, we model connectivity between regions and consider heterogeneous effects to gain more accurate quantitative insights into the inherent complexity of deforestation. We investigate the impacts of agriculture in Mato Grosso, Brazil, for the period 2006–2017 considering spatial spillovers and varying impacts over time and space. Spillovers between municipalities that emanate from croplands in the Amazon appear as the major driver of deforestation, with no direct effects from agriculture in recent years. This suggests a moderate success of the Soy Moratorium and Cattle Agreements, but highlights their inability to address indirect effects. We find that the neglect of the spatial dimension and the assumption of homogeneous impacts lead to distorted inference. Researchers need to be aware of the complex and dynamic processes behind deforestation, in order to facilitate effective policy design.Nikolas KuschnigJesús Crespo CuaresmaTamás KrisztinStefan GiljumNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Nikolas Kuschnig Jesús Crespo Cuaresma Tamás Krisztin Stefan Giljum Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
description	Abstract Deforestation of the Amazon rainforest is a threat to global climate, biodiversity, and many other ecosystem services. In order to address this threat, an understanding of the drivers of deforestation processes is required. Spillover effects and factors that differ across locations and over time play important roles in these processes. They are largely disregarded in applied research and thus in the design of evidence-based policies. In this study, we model connectivity between regions and consider heterogeneous effects to gain more accurate quantitative insights into the inherent complexity of deforestation. We investigate the impacts of agriculture in Mato Grosso, Brazil, for the period 2006–2017 considering spatial spillovers and varying impacts over time and space. Spillovers between municipalities that emanate from croplands in the Amazon appear as the major driver of deforestation, with no direct effects from agriculture in recent years. This suggests a moderate success of the Soy Moratorium and Cattle Agreements, but highlights their inability to address indirect effects. We find that the neglect of the spatial dimension and the assumption of homogeneous impacts lead to distorted inference. Researchers need to be aware of the complex and dynamic processes behind deforestation, in order to facilitate effective policy design.
format	article
author	Nikolas Kuschnig Jesús Crespo Cuaresma Tamás Krisztin Stefan Giljum
author_facet	Nikolas Kuschnig Jesús Crespo Cuaresma Tamás Krisztin Stefan Giljum
author_sort	Nikolas Kuschnig
title	Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
title_short	Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
title_full	Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
title_fullStr	Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
title_full_unstemmed	Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil
title_sort	spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in mato grosso, brazil
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/564b09e247e44a809c3f70e0a5f0af22
work_keys_str_mv	AT nikolaskuschnig spatialspillovereffectsfromagriculturedrivedeforestationinmatogrossobrazil AT jesuscrespocuaresma spatialspillovereffectsfromagriculturedrivedeforestationinmatogrossobrazil AT tamaskrisztin spatialspillovereffectsfromagriculturedrivedeforestationinmatogrossobrazil AT stefangiljum spatialspillovereffectsfromagriculturedrivedeforestationinmatogrossobrazil
_version_	1718429287896317952

Spatial spillover effects from agriculture drive deforestation in Mato Grosso, Brazil

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