Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis

Conventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen an...

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Autores principales:	Hsin-Hung Li, Wei Ji Ma
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2020
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c2021-12-02T14:41:13ZConfidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis10.1038/s41467-020-15581-62041-1723https://doaj.org/article/56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c2020-04-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15581-6https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Conventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen and the next-best alternative.Hsin-Hung LiWei Ji MaNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
description	Conventional theory suggests that people’s confidence about a decision reflects their subjective probability that the decision was correct. By studying decisions with multiple alternatives, the authors show that confidence reports instead reflect the difference in probabilities between the chosen and the next-best alternative.
format	article
author	Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma
author_facet	Hsin-Hung Li Wei Ji Ma
author_sort	Hsin-Hung Li
title	Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
title_short	Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
title_full	Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
title_fullStr	Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
title_full_unstemmed	Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis
title_sort	confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the bayesian confidence hypothesis
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/56c6a826a4e64f42bc98a0c13199112c
work_keys_str_mv	AT hsinhungli confidencereportsindecisionmakingwithmultiplealternativesviolatethebayesianconfidencehypothesis AT weijima confidencereportsindecisionmakingwithmultiplealternativesviolatethebayesianconfidencehypothesis
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Confidence reports in decision-making with multiple alternatives violate the Bayesian confidence hypothesis

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