Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.

The growth law for the development of top athletes performances remains unknown in quantifiable sport events. Here we present a growth model for 41351 best performers from 70 track and field (T&F) and swimming events and detail their characteristics over the modern Olympic era. We show that 64%...

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Autores principales: Geoffroy Berthelot, Muriel Tafflet, Nour El Helou, Stéphane Len, Sylvie Escolano, Marion Guillaume, Hala Nassif, Julien Tolaïni, Valérie Thibault, François Denis Desgorces, Olivier Hermine, Jean-François Toussaint
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2010
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/58252297169b4cd8ae81e80865950493
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:58252297169b4cd8ae81e808659504932021-11-25T06:26:33ZAthlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0008800https://doaj.org/article/58252297169b4cd8ae81e808659504932010-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/20098706/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The growth law for the development of top athletes performances remains unknown in quantifiable sport events. Here we present a growth model for 41351 best performers from 70 track and field (T&F) and swimming events and detail their characteristics over the modern Olympic era. We show that 64% of T&F events no longer improved since 1993, while 47% of swimming events stagnated after 1990, prior to a second progression step starting in 2000. Since then, 100% of swimming events continued to progress.We also provide a measurement of the atypicity for the 3919 best performances (BP) of each year in every event. The secular evolution of this parameter for T&F reveals four peaks; the most recent (1988) followed by a major stagnation. This last peak may correspond to the most recent successful attempt to push forward human physiological limits. No atypicity trend is detected in swimming. The upcoming rarefaction of new records in sport may be delayed by technological innovations, themselves depending upon economical constraints.Geoffroy BerthelotMuriel TaffletNour El HelouStéphane LenSylvie EscolanoMarion GuillaumeHala NassifJulien TolaïniValérie ThibaultFrançois Denis DesgorcesOlivier HermineJean-François ToussaintPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 5, Iss 1, p e8800 (2010)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Geoffroy Berthelot
Muriel Tafflet
Nour El Helou
Stéphane Len
Sylvie Escolano
Marion Guillaume
Hala Nassif
Julien Tolaïni
Valérie Thibault
François Denis Desgorces
Olivier Hermine
Jean-François Toussaint
Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
description The growth law for the development of top athletes performances remains unknown in quantifiable sport events. Here we present a growth model for 41351 best performers from 70 track and field (T&F) and swimming events and detail their characteristics over the modern Olympic era. We show that 64% of T&F events no longer improved since 1993, while 47% of swimming events stagnated after 1990, prior to a second progression step starting in 2000. Since then, 100% of swimming events continued to progress.We also provide a measurement of the atypicity for the 3919 best performances (BP) of each year in every event. The secular evolution of this parameter for T&F reveals four peaks; the most recent (1988) followed by a major stagnation. This last peak may correspond to the most recent successful attempt to push forward human physiological limits. No atypicity trend is detected in swimming. The upcoming rarefaction of new records in sport may be delayed by technological innovations, themselves depending upon economical constraints.
format article
author Geoffroy Berthelot
Muriel Tafflet
Nour El Helou
Stéphane Len
Sylvie Escolano
Marion Guillaume
Hala Nassif
Julien Tolaïni
Valérie Thibault
François Denis Desgorces
Olivier Hermine
Jean-François Toussaint
author_facet Geoffroy Berthelot
Muriel Tafflet
Nour El Helou
Stéphane Len
Sylvie Escolano
Marion Guillaume
Hala Nassif
Julien Tolaïni
Valérie Thibault
François Denis Desgorces
Olivier Hermine
Jean-François Toussaint
author_sort Geoffroy Berthelot
title Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
title_short Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
title_full Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
title_fullStr Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
title_full_unstemmed Athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
title_sort athlete atypicity on the edge of human achievement: performances stagnate after the last peak, in 1988.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2010
url https://doaj.org/article/58252297169b4cd8ae81e80865950493
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