The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast

In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwa...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bakali Hosny, Aouiche Ismail, Serhir Najat
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
FR
Publicado: EDP Sciences 2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d3
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
Descripción
Sumario:In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwaters for deep sea ports. In this study, we analyzed the influence of the threshold variation on the results of the hundred-year return period waves, generally considered for the design of maritime structures. The sensitivity study allowed us to confirm that the exponential model is the best probability distribution to describe wave data in two points on the Moroccan Atlantic coast for the wave data period from 1958 to 2019. This study also confirmed that a wrong choice of the statistical distribution and a wrong choice of the threshold lead to significant errors in the estimation of design wave height.