The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwa...
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EDP Sciences
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d32021-11-08T15:19:09ZThe problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast2267-124210.1051/e3sconf/202131404002https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d32021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2021/90/e3sconf_wmad2021_04002.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2267-1242In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwaters for deep sea ports. In this study, we analyzed the influence of the threshold variation on the results of the hundred-year return period waves, generally considered for the design of maritime structures. The sensitivity study allowed us to confirm that the exponential model is the best probability distribution to describe wave data in two points on the Moroccan Atlantic coast for the wave data period from 1958 to 2019. This study also confirmed that a wrong choice of the statistical distribution and a wrong choice of the threshold lead to significant errors in the estimation of design wave height.Bakali HosnyAouiche IsmailSerhir NajatEDP SciencesarticleEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350ENFRE3S Web of Conferences, Vol 314, p 04002 (2021) |
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Environmental sciences GE1-350 Bakali Hosny Aouiche Ismail Serhir Najat The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
description |
In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwaters for deep sea ports. In this study, we analyzed the influence of the threshold variation on the results of the hundred-year return period waves, generally considered for the design of maritime structures. The sensitivity study allowed us to confirm that the exponential model is the best probability distribution to describe wave data in two points on the Moroccan Atlantic coast for the wave data period from 1958 to 2019. This study also confirmed that a wrong choice of the statistical distribution and a wrong choice of the threshold lead to significant errors in the estimation of design wave height. |
format |
article |
author |
Bakali Hosny Aouiche Ismail Serhir Najat |
author_facet |
Bakali Hosny Aouiche Ismail Serhir Najat |
author_sort |
Bakali Hosny |
title |
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
title_short |
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
title_full |
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
title_fullStr |
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
title_full_unstemmed |
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast |
title_sort |
problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the pot method: application to wave data on the moroccan atlantic coast |
publisher |
EDP Sciences |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d3 |
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