The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast

In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwa...

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Autores principales: Bakali Hosny, Aouiche Ismail, Serhir Najat
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FR
Publicado: EDP Sciences 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d3
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d32021-11-08T15:19:09ZThe problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast2267-124210.1051/e3sconf/202131404002https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d32021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2021/90/e3sconf_wmad2021_04002.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/2267-1242In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwaters for deep sea ports. In this study, we analyzed the influence of the threshold variation on the results of the hundred-year return period waves, generally considered for the design of maritime structures. The sensitivity study allowed us to confirm that the exponential model is the best probability distribution to describe wave data in two points on the Moroccan Atlantic coast for the wave data period from 1958 to 2019. This study also confirmed that a wrong choice of the statistical distribution and a wrong choice of the threshold lead to significant errors in the estimation of design wave height.Bakali HosnyAouiche IsmailSerhir NajatEDP SciencesarticleEnvironmental sciencesGE1-350ENFRE3S Web of Conferences, Vol 314, p 04002 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
FR
topic Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Bakali Hosny
Aouiche Ismail
Serhir Najat
The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
description In a study of extreme waves by the Peak Over Threshold (POT) method, the determination of the threshold of data censoring is an essential step. A wrong choice of the threshold can lead to erroneous results of the wave height design and consequently a bad design of maritime structures such as breakwaters for deep sea ports. In this study, we analyzed the influence of the threshold variation on the results of the hundred-year return period waves, generally considered for the design of maritime structures. The sensitivity study allowed us to confirm that the exponential model is the best probability distribution to describe wave data in two points on the Moroccan Atlantic coast for the wave data period from 1958 to 2019. This study also confirmed that a wrong choice of the statistical distribution and a wrong choice of the threshold lead to significant errors in the estimation of design wave height.
format article
author Bakali Hosny
Aouiche Ismail
Serhir Najat
author_facet Bakali Hosny
Aouiche Ismail
Serhir Najat
author_sort Bakali Hosny
title The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
title_short The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
title_full The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
title_fullStr The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
title_full_unstemmed The problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the POT method: Application to wave data on the Moroccan Atlantic coast
title_sort problem of determining the threshold for statistical analysis by the pot method: application to wave data on the moroccan atlantic coast
publisher EDP Sciences
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/58b74685550047d8a011581f0f6194d3
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