Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.
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Nature Portfolio
2016
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oai:doaj.org-article:58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d1430942021-12-02T15:35:45ZClimate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change10.1038/ncomms126082041-1723https://doaj.org/article/58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d1430942016-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12608https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.T.A.M. PughC. MüllerJ. ElliottD. DeryngC. FolberthS. OlinE. SchmidA. ArnethNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2016) |
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Science Q T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
description |
Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand. |
format |
article |
author |
T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth |
author_facet |
T.A.M. Pugh C. Müller J. Elliott D. Deryng C. Folberth S. Olin E. Schmid A. Arneth |
author_sort |
T.A.M. Pugh |
title |
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
title_short |
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
title_full |
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
title_fullStr |
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
title_sort |
climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change |
publisher |
Nature Portfolio |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d143094 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT tampugh climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT cmuller climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT jelliott climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT dderyng climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT cfolberth climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT solin climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT eschmid climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange AT aarneth climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange |
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1718386473897558016 |