Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change

Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.

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Autores principales: T.A.M. Pugh, C. Müller, J. Elliott, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, S. Olin, E. Schmid, A. Arneth
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2016
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d143094
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d1430942021-12-02T15:35:45ZClimate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change10.1038/ncomms126082041-1723https://doaj.org/article/58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d1430942016-09-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms12608https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.T.A.M. PughC. MüllerJ. ElliottD. DeryngC. FolberthS. OlinE. SchmidA. ArnethNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-8 (2016)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Science
Q
spellingShingle Science
Q
T.A.M. Pugh
C. Müller
J. Elliott
D. Deryng
C. Folberth
S. Olin
E. Schmid
A. Arneth
Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
description Simulations of the impact of future climate change on crop yield vary considerably. Here, the authors use a climate analogue approach to estimate the response of maximum attainable yield to climate change and predict that large shifts in land use and crop choice would be required to meet demand.
format article
author T.A.M. Pugh
C. Müller
J. Elliott
D. Deryng
C. Folberth
S. Olin
E. Schmid
A. Arneth
author_facet T.A.M. Pugh
C. Müller
J. Elliott
D. Deryng
C. Folberth
S. Olin
E. Schmid
A. Arneth
author_sort T.A.M. Pugh
title Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
title_short Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
title_full Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
title_fullStr Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
title_sort climate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2016
url https://doaj.org/article/58effdbb62a548a59de4fc976d143094
work_keys_str_mv AT tampugh climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
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AT jelliott climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
AT dderyng climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
AT cfolberth climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
AT solin climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
AT eschmid climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
AT aarneth climateanaloguessuggestlimitedpotentialforintensificationofproductiononcurrentcroplandsunderclimatechange
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