Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network

Advanced human activities, including modern agricultural practices, are responsible for alteration of natural concentration of nitrogen compounds in rivers. Future prediction of nitrogen compound concentrations (especially nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen) are important for countries where hous...

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Autores principales: Pavitra Kumar, Sai Hin Lai, Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd, Md Rowshon Kamal, Ali Najah Ahmed, Mohsen Sherif, Ahmed Sefelnasr, Ahmed El-shafie
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Publicado: Taylor & Francis Group 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/5a3f19aa14ee4a40a623018cec27c938
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5a3f19aa14ee4a40a623018cec27c9382021-11-26T11:19:48ZEnhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network1994-20601997-003X10.1080/19942060.2021.1990134https://doaj.org/article/5a3f19aa14ee4a40a623018cec27c9382021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19942060.2021.1990134https://doaj.org/toc/1994-2060https://doaj.org/toc/1997-003XAdvanced human activities, including modern agricultural practices, are responsible for alteration of natural concentration of nitrogen compounds in rivers. Future prediction of nitrogen compound concentrations (especially nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen) are important for countries where household water is obtained from rivers after treatment. Increased concentrations of nitrogen compounds result in the suspension of household water supplies. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have already been deployed for the prediction of nitrogen compounds in various countries. But standalone ANN have several limitations. However, the limitations of ANNs can be resolved using hybrid models. This study proposes a new ACO-ENN hybrid model developed by integrating Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) with an Elman Neural Network (ENN). The developed ACO-ENN hybrid model was used to improve the prediction results of nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen prediction models. The results of new hybrid models were compared with multilayer ANN models and standalone ENN models. There was a significant improvement in the mean square errors (MSE) (0.196→0.049→0.012, i.e. ANN→ENN→Hybrid), mean absolute errors (MAE) (0.271→0.094→0.069) and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSE) (0.7255→0.9321→0.984). The hybrid model had outstanding performance compared with the ANN and ENN models. Hence, the prediction accuracy of nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen has been improved using new ACO-ENN hybrid model.Pavitra KumarSai Hin LaiNuruol Syuhadaa MohdMd Rowshon KamalAli Najah AhmedMohsen SherifAhmed SefelnasrAhmed El-shafieTaylor & Francis Grouparticlenitrate-nitrogenammonia-nitrogenant colony optimizationelman neural networknew aco-enn hybrid modelEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040ENEngineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics, Vol 15, Iss 1, Pp 1843-1867 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic nitrate-nitrogen
ammonia-nitrogen
ant colony optimization
elman neural network
new aco-enn hybrid model
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
spellingShingle nitrate-nitrogen
ammonia-nitrogen
ant colony optimization
elman neural network
new aco-enn hybrid model
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Pavitra Kumar
Sai Hin Lai
Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd
Md Rowshon Kamal
Ali Najah Ahmed
Mohsen Sherif
Ahmed Sefelnasr
Ahmed El-shafie
Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
description Advanced human activities, including modern agricultural practices, are responsible for alteration of natural concentration of nitrogen compounds in rivers. Future prediction of nitrogen compound concentrations (especially nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen) are important for countries where household water is obtained from rivers after treatment. Increased concentrations of nitrogen compounds result in the suspension of household water supplies. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have already been deployed for the prediction of nitrogen compounds in various countries. But standalone ANN have several limitations. However, the limitations of ANNs can be resolved using hybrid models. This study proposes a new ACO-ENN hybrid model developed by integrating Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) with an Elman Neural Network (ENN). The developed ACO-ENN hybrid model was used to improve the prediction results of nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen prediction models. The results of new hybrid models were compared with multilayer ANN models and standalone ENN models. There was a significant improvement in the mean square errors (MSE) (0.196→0.049→0.012, i.e. ANN→ENN→Hybrid), mean absolute errors (MAE) (0.271→0.094→0.069) and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSE) (0.7255→0.9321→0.984). The hybrid model had outstanding performance compared with the ANN and ENN models. Hence, the prediction accuracy of nitrate-nitrogen and ammonia-nitrogen has been improved using new ACO-ENN hybrid model.
format article
author Pavitra Kumar
Sai Hin Lai
Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd
Md Rowshon Kamal
Ali Najah Ahmed
Mohsen Sherif
Ahmed Sefelnasr
Ahmed El-shafie
author_facet Pavitra Kumar
Sai Hin Lai
Nuruol Syuhadaa Mohd
Md Rowshon Kamal
Ali Najah Ahmed
Mohsen Sherif
Ahmed Sefelnasr
Ahmed El-shafie
author_sort Pavitra Kumar
title Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
title_short Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
title_full Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
title_fullStr Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
title_full_unstemmed Enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an Elman neural network
title_sort enhancement of nitrogen prediction accuracy through a new hybrid model using ant colony optimization and an elman neural network
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5a3f19aa14ee4a40a623018cec27c938
work_keys_str_mv AT pavitrakumar enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT saihinlai enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT nuruolsyuhadaamohd enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT mdrowshonkamal enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT alinajahahmed enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT mohsensherif enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT ahmedsefelnasr enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
AT ahmedelshafie enhancementofnitrogenpredictionaccuracythroughanewhybridmodelusingantcolonyoptimizationandanelmanneuralnetwork
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