Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?

ABSTRACT The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii)...

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Autores principales: Arturo Casadevall, Susan R. Weiss, Michael J. Imperiale
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: American Society for Microbiology 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/5bbe5bee6401482d9b73ce52af248414
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5bbe5bee6401482d9b73ce52af2484142021-11-10T18:37:52ZCan Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?10.1128/mBio.01948-212150-7511https://doaj.org/article/5bbe5bee6401482d9b73ce52af2484142021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://journals.asm.org/doi/10.1128/mBio.01948-21https://doaj.org/toc/2150-7511ABSTRACT The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty.Arturo CasadevallSusan R. WeissMichael J. ImperialeAmerican Society for MicrobiologyarticleCOVIDSARSSARS-CoV-2MicrobiologyQR1-502ENmBio, Vol 12, Iss 4 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic COVID
SARS
SARS-CoV-2
Microbiology
QR1-502
spellingShingle COVID
SARS
SARS-CoV-2
Microbiology
QR1-502
Arturo Casadevall
Susan R. Weiss
Michael J. Imperiale
Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
description ABSTRACT The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam’s razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty.
format article
author Arturo Casadevall
Susan R. Weiss
Michael J. Imperiale
author_facet Arturo Casadevall
Susan R. Weiss
Michael J. Imperiale
author_sort Arturo Casadevall
title Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_short Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_full Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_fullStr Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_full_unstemmed Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic?
title_sort can science help resolve the controversy on the origins of the sars-cov-2 pandemic?
publisher American Society for Microbiology
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5bbe5bee6401482d9b73ce52af248414
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