Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe

Abstract How agricultural ecosystems adapt to climate change is one of the most important issues facing agronomists at the turn of the century. Understanding agricultural ecosystem responses requires assessing the relative shift in climatic constraints on crop production at regional scales such as t...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Kamila S. Bożek, Krystyna Żuk-Gołaszewska, Anna Bochenek, Janusz Gołaszewski, Hazem M. Kalaji
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/5cbaa176bc8d4e18a2ce5328cb2ebf2d
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:5cbaa176bc8d4e18a2ce5328cb2ebf2d
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:5cbaa176bc8d4e18a2ce5328cb2ebf2d2021-11-08T10:55:49ZModelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe10.1038/s41598-021-01273-82045-2322https://doaj.org/article/5cbaa176bc8d4e18a2ce5328cb2ebf2d2021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-01273-8https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract How agricultural ecosystems adapt to climate change is one of the most important issues facing agronomists at the turn of the century. Understanding agricultural ecosystem responses requires assessing the relative shift in climatic constraints on crop production at regional scales such as the temperate zone. In this work we propose an approach to modeling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf. under the climatic conditions of north-eastern Poland. The model implements 13 non-measurable parameters, including climate conditions, agronomic factors, physiological processes, biophysical parameters, yield components and biological yield (latent variables), which are described by 33 measurable predictors as well as grain and straw yield (manifest variables). The agronomic factors latent variable was correlated with nitrogen fertilization and sowing density, and biological yield was correlated with grain yield and straw yield. An analysis of the model parameters revealed that a one unit increase in agronomic factors increased biological yield by 0.575. In turn, biological yield was most effectively determined by climate conditions (score of 60–62) and biophysical parameters (score of 60–67) in the 2nd node detectable stage and at the end of heading. The modeled configuration of latent and manifest variables was responsible for less than 70% of potential biological yield, which indicates that the growth and development of durum wheat in north-eastern Europe can be further optimized to achieve high and stable yields. The proposed model accounts for local climate conditions and physiological processes in plants, and it can be implemented to optimize agronomic practices in the cultivation of durum wheat and, consequently, to expand the area under T. durum to regions with a temperate climate.Kamila S. BożekKrystyna Żuk-GołaszewskaAnna BochenekJanusz GołaszewskiHazem M. KalajiNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Kamila S. Bożek Krystyna Żuk-Gołaszewska Anna Bochenek Janusz Gołaszewski Hazem M. Kalaji Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
description	Abstract How agricultural ecosystems adapt to climate change is one of the most important issues facing agronomists at the turn of the century. Understanding agricultural ecosystem responses requires assessing the relative shift in climatic constraints on crop production at regional scales such as the temperate zone. In this work we propose an approach to modeling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf. under the climatic conditions of north-eastern Poland. The model implements 13 non-measurable parameters, including climate conditions, agronomic factors, physiological processes, biophysical parameters, yield components and biological yield (latent variables), which are described by 33 measurable predictors as well as grain and straw yield (manifest variables). The agronomic factors latent variable was correlated with nitrogen fertilization and sowing density, and biological yield was correlated with grain yield and straw yield. An analysis of the model parameters revealed that a one unit increase in agronomic factors increased biological yield by 0.575. In turn, biological yield was most effectively determined by climate conditions (score of 60–62) and biophysical parameters (score of 60–67) in the 2nd node detectable stage and at the end of heading. The modeled configuration of latent and manifest variables was responsible for less than 70% of potential biological yield, which indicates that the growth and development of durum wheat in north-eastern Europe can be further optimized to achieve high and stable yields. The proposed model accounts for local climate conditions and physiological processes in plants, and it can be implemented to optimize agronomic practices in the cultivation of durum wheat and, consequently, to expand the area under T. durum to regions with a temperate climate.
format	article
author	Kamila S. Bożek Krystyna Żuk-Gołaszewska Anna Bochenek Janusz Gołaszewski Hazem M. Kalaji
author_facet	Kamila S. Bożek Krystyna Żuk-Gołaszewska Anna Bochenek Janusz Gołaszewski Hazem M. Kalaji
author_sort	Kamila S. Bożek
title	Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
title_short	Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
title_full	Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
title_fullStr	Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
title_full_unstemmed	Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe
title_sort	modelling the growth, development and yield of triticum durum desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern europe
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/5cbaa176bc8d4e18a2ce5328cb2ebf2d
work_keys_str_mv	AT kamilasbozek modellingthegrowthdevelopmentandyieldoftriticumdurumdesfunderthechangesofclimaticconditionsinnortheasterneurope AT krystynazukgołaszewska modellingthegrowthdevelopmentandyieldoftriticumdurumdesfunderthechangesofclimaticconditionsinnortheasterneurope AT annabochenek modellingthegrowthdevelopmentandyieldoftriticumdurumdesfunderthechangesofclimaticconditionsinnortheasterneurope AT januszgołaszewski modellingthegrowthdevelopmentandyieldoftriticumdurumdesfunderthechangesofclimaticconditionsinnortheasterneurope AT hazemmkalaji modellingthegrowthdevelopmentandyieldoftriticumdurumdesfunderthechangesofclimaticconditionsinnortheasterneurope
_version_	1718442524944629760

Modelling the growth, development and yield of Triticum durum Desf under the changes of climatic conditions in north-eastern Europe

Ejemplares similares