A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly

With the availability of fast computing machines, as well as the advancement of machine learning techniques and Big Data algorithms, the development of a more sophisticated total electron content (TEC) model featuring the Nighttime Winter Anomaly (NWA) and other effects is possible and is presented...

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Autores principales: Marjolijn Adolfs, Mohammed Mainul Hoque
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Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/5cd74ab2b27346bc87f6cab41dbf5435
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5cd74ab2b27346bc87f6cab41dbf54352021-11-25T18:54:18ZA Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly10.3390/rs132245592072-4292https://doaj.org/article/5cd74ab2b27346bc87f6cab41dbf54352021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/22/4559https://doaj.org/toc/2072-4292With the availability of fast computing machines, as well as the advancement of machine learning techniques and Big Data algorithms, the development of a more sophisticated total electron content (TEC) model featuring the Nighttime Winter Anomaly (NWA) and other effects is possible and is presented here. The NWA is visible in the Northern Hemisphere for the American sector and in the Southern Hemisphere for the Asian longitude sector under solar minimum conditions. During the NWA, the mean ionization level is found to be higher in the winter nights compared to the summer nights. The approach proposed here is a fully connected neural network (NN) model trained with Global Ionosphere Maps (GIMs) data from the last two solar cycles. The day of year, universal time, geographic longitude, geomagnetic latitude, solar zenith angle, and solar activity proxy, F10.7, were used as the input parameters for the model. The model was tested with independent TEC datasets from the years 2015 and 2020, representing high solar activity (HSA) and low solar activity (LSA) conditions. Our investigation shows that the root mean squared (RMS) deviations are in the order of 6 and 2.5 TEC units during HSA and LSA period, respectively. Additionally, NN model results were compared with another model, the Neustrelitz TEC Model (NTCM). We found that the neural network model outperformed the NTCM by approximately 1 TEC unit. More importantly, the NN model can reproduce the evolution of the NWA effect during low solar activity, whereas the NTCM model cannot reproduce such effect in the TEC variation.Marjolijn AdolfsMohammed Mainul HoqueMDPI AGarticleionospheretotal electron contentnighttime winter anomalyneural networkNTCMScienceQENRemote Sensing, Vol 13, Iss 4559, p 4559 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic ionosphere
total electron content
nighttime winter anomaly
neural network
NTCM
Science
Q
spellingShingle ionosphere
total electron content
nighttime winter anomaly
neural network
NTCM
Science
Q
Marjolijn Adolfs
Mohammed Mainul Hoque
A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
description With the availability of fast computing machines, as well as the advancement of machine learning techniques and Big Data algorithms, the development of a more sophisticated total electron content (TEC) model featuring the Nighttime Winter Anomaly (NWA) and other effects is possible and is presented here. The NWA is visible in the Northern Hemisphere for the American sector and in the Southern Hemisphere for the Asian longitude sector under solar minimum conditions. During the NWA, the mean ionization level is found to be higher in the winter nights compared to the summer nights. The approach proposed here is a fully connected neural network (NN) model trained with Global Ionosphere Maps (GIMs) data from the last two solar cycles. The day of year, universal time, geographic longitude, geomagnetic latitude, solar zenith angle, and solar activity proxy, F10.7, were used as the input parameters for the model. The model was tested with independent TEC datasets from the years 2015 and 2020, representing high solar activity (HSA) and low solar activity (LSA) conditions. Our investigation shows that the root mean squared (RMS) deviations are in the order of 6 and 2.5 TEC units during HSA and LSA period, respectively. Additionally, NN model results were compared with another model, the Neustrelitz TEC Model (NTCM). We found that the neural network model outperformed the NTCM by approximately 1 TEC unit. More importantly, the NN model can reproduce the evolution of the NWA effect during low solar activity, whereas the NTCM model cannot reproduce such effect in the TEC variation.
format article
author Marjolijn Adolfs
Mohammed Mainul Hoque
author_facet Marjolijn Adolfs
Mohammed Mainul Hoque
author_sort Marjolijn Adolfs
title A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
title_short A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
title_full A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
title_fullStr A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
title_full_unstemmed A Neural Network-Based TEC Model Capable of Reproducing Nighttime Winter Anomaly
title_sort neural network-based tec model capable of reproducing nighttime winter anomaly
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5cd74ab2b27346bc87f6cab41dbf5435
work_keys_str_mv AT marjolijnadolfs aneuralnetworkbasedtecmodelcapableofreproducingnighttimewinteranomaly
AT mohammedmainulhoque aneuralnetworkbasedtecmodelcapableofreproducingnighttimewinteranomaly
AT marjolijnadolfs neuralnetworkbasedtecmodelcapableofreproducingnighttimewinteranomaly
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