How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?

The effects of climate change on plant phenological events such as flowering, leaf flush, and leaf fall may be greater in steep river basins than at the horizontal scale of countries and continents. This possibility is due to the effect of temperature on plant phenology and the difference between ve...

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Autores principales: Nagai Shin, Taku M Saitoh, Kenlo Nishida Nasahara
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/5ce33debad1f4b8fa2da4f1faedc6eb7
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5ce33debad1f4b8fa2da4f1faedc6eb72021-12-02T20:08:47ZHow did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0255078https://doaj.org/article/5ce33debad1f4b8fa2da4f1faedc6eb72021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0255078https://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203The effects of climate change on plant phenological events such as flowering, leaf flush, and leaf fall may be greater in steep river basins than at the horizontal scale of countries and continents. This possibility is due to the effect of temperature on plant phenology and the difference between vertical and horizontal gradients in temperature sensitivities. We calculated the dates of the start (SGS) and end of the growing season (EGS) in a steep river basin located in a mountainous region of central Japan over a century timescale by using a degree-day phenological model based on long-term, continuous, in situ observations. We assessed the generality and representativeness of the modelled SGS and EGS dates by using phenological events, live camera images taken at multiple points in the basin, and satellite observations made at a fine spatial resolution. The sensitivity of the modelled SGS and EGS dates to elevation changed from 3.29 days (100 m)-1 (-5.48 days °C-1) and -2.89 days (100 m)-1 (4.81 days °C-1), respectively, in 1900 to 2.85 days (100 m)-1 (-4.75 days °C-1) and -2.84 day (100 m)-1 (4.73 day °C-1) in 2019. The long-term trend of the sensitivity of the modelled SGS date to elevation was -0.0037 day year-1 per 100 m, but the analogous trend in the case of the modelled EGS date was not significant. Despite the need for further studies to improve the generality and representativeness of the model, the development of degree-day phenology models in multiple, steep river basins will deepen our ecological understanding of the sensitivity of plant phenology to climate change.Nagai ShinTaku M SaitohKenlo Nishida NasaharaPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 7, p e0255078 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Nagai Shin
Taku M Saitoh
Kenlo Nishida Nasahara
How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
description The effects of climate change on plant phenological events such as flowering, leaf flush, and leaf fall may be greater in steep river basins than at the horizontal scale of countries and continents. This possibility is due to the effect of temperature on plant phenology and the difference between vertical and horizontal gradients in temperature sensitivities. We calculated the dates of the start (SGS) and end of the growing season (EGS) in a steep river basin located in a mountainous region of central Japan over a century timescale by using a degree-day phenological model based on long-term, continuous, in situ observations. We assessed the generality and representativeness of the modelled SGS and EGS dates by using phenological events, live camera images taken at multiple points in the basin, and satellite observations made at a fine spatial resolution. The sensitivity of the modelled SGS and EGS dates to elevation changed from 3.29 days (100 m)-1 (-5.48 days °C-1) and -2.89 days (100 m)-1 (4.81 days °C-1), respectively, in 1900 to 2.85 days (100 m)-1 (-4.75 days °C-1) and -2.84 day (100 m)-1 (4.73 day °C-1) in 2019. The long-term trend of the sensitivity of the modelled SGS date to elevation was -0.0037 day year-1 per 100 m, but the analogous trend in the case of the modelled EGS date was not significant. Despite the need for further studies to improve the generality and representativeness of the model, the development of degree-day phenology models in multiple, steep river basins will deepen our ecological understanding of the sensitivity of plant phenology to climate change.
format article
author Nagai Shin
Taku M Saitoh
Kenlo Nishida Nasahara
author_facet Nagai Shin
Taku M Saitoh
Kenlo Nishida Nasahara
author_sort Nagai Shin
title How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
title_short How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
title_full How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
title_fullStr How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
title_full_unstemmed How did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in Japan?
title_sort how did the characteristics of the growing season change during the past 100 years at a steep river basin in japan?
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5ce33debad1f4b8fa2da4f1faedc6eb7
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AT takumsaitoh howdidthecharacteristicsofthegrowingseasonchangeduringthepast100yearsatasteepriverbasininjapan
AT kenlonishidanasahara howdidthecharacteristicsofthegrowingseasonchangeduringthepast100yearsatasteepriverbasininjapan
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