Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2

Abstract In response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, unprecedented travel restrictions and stay-at-home orders were enacted around the world. Ultimately, the public’s response to announcements of lockdowns—defined as restrictions on both local movement or long distance travel—will determine how effectiv...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Nishant Kishore, Rebecca Kahn, Pamela P. Martinez, Pablo M. De Salazar, Ayesha S. Mahmud, Caroline O. Buckee
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2021
Materias:	Medicine R Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/5e07eea275034a51a57db249558e77a6
Etiquetas:	Agregar Etiqueta Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!

id	oai:doaj.org-article:5e07eea275034a51a57db249558e77a6
record_format	dspace
spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:5e07eea275034a51a57db249558e77a62021-12-02T11:45:03ZLockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-210.1038/s41598-021-86297-w2045-2322https://doaj.org/article/5e07eea275034a51a57db249558e77a62021-03-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-86297-whttps://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract In response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, unprecedented travel restrictions and stay-at-home orders were enacted around the world. Ultimately, the public’s response to announcements of lockdowns—defined as restrictions on both local movement or long distance travel—will determine how effective these kinds of interventions are. Here, we evaluate the effects of lockdowns on human mobility and simulate how these changes may affect epidemic spread by analyzing aggregated mobility data from mobile phones. We show that in 2020 following lockdown announcements but prior to their implementation, both local and long distance movement increased in multiple locations, and urban-to-rural migration was observed around the world. To examine how these behavioral responses to lockdown policies may contribute to epidemic spread, we developed a simple agent-based spatial model. Our model shows that this increased movement has the potential to increase seeding of the epidemic in less urban areas, which could undermine the goal of the lockdown in preventing disease spread. Lockdowns play a key role in reducing contacts and controlling outbreaks, but appropriate messaging surrounding their announcement and careful evaluation of changes in mobility are needed to mitigate the possible unintended consequences.Nishant KishoreRebecca KahnPamela P. MartinezPablo M. De SalazarAyesha S. MahmudCaroline O. BuckeeNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2021)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Medicine R Science Q
spellingShingle	Medicine R Science Q Nishant Kishore Rebecca Kahn Pamela P. Martinez Pablo M. De Salazar Ayesha S. Mahmud Caroline O. Buckee Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
description	Abstract In response to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, unprecedented travel restrictions and stay-at-home orders were enacted around the world. Ultimately, the public’s response to announcements of lockdowns—defined as restrictions on both local movement or long distance travel—will determine how effective these kinds of interventions are. Here, we evaluate the effects of lockdowns on human mobility and simulate how these changes may affect epidemic spread by analyzing aggregated mobility data from mobile phones. We show that in 2020 following lockdown announcements but prior to their implementation, both local and long distance movement increased in multiple locations, and urban-to-rural migration was observed around the world. To examine how these behavioral responses to lockdown policies may contribute to epidemic spread, we developed a simple agent-based spatial model. Our model shows that this increased movement has the potential to increase seeding of the epidemic in less urban areas, which could undermine the goal of the lockdown in preventing disease spread. Lockdowns play a key role in reducing contacts and controlling outbreaks, but appropriate messaging surrounding their announcement and careful evaluation of changes in mobility are needed to mitigate the possible unintended consequences.
format	article
author	Nishant Kishore Rebecca Kahn Pamela P. Martinez Pablo M. De Salazar Ayesha S. Mahmud Caroline O. Buckee
author_facet	Nishant Kishore Rebecca Kahn Pamela P. Martinez Pablo M. De Salazar Ayesha S. Mahmud Caroline O. Buckee
author_sort	Nishant Kishore
title	Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
title_short	Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
title_full	Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
title_fullStr	Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
title_full_unstemmed	Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2
title_sort	lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of sars-cov-2
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2021
url	https://doaj.org/article/5e07eea275034a51a57db249558e77a6
work_keys_str_mv	AT nishantkishore lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2 AT rebeccakahn lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2 AT pamelapmartinez lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2 AT pablomdesalazar lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2 AT ayeshasmahmud lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2 AT carolineobuckee lockdownsresultinchangesinhumanmobilitywhichmayimpacttheepidemiologicdynamicsofsarscov2
_version_	1718395283321126912

Lockdowns result in changes in human mobility which may impact the epidemiologic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2

Ejemplares similares