Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales

In order to survey the possible periodic, uncertainty and common features in runoff with multi-temporal scales, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method combined with the set pair analysis (SPA) method was applied, with data observed at Zhangjiashan hydrological station. The results showed that...

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Autores principales: Yan Ye, Jinping Zhang, Xunjian Long, Lihua Ma, Yong Ye
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Publicado: IWA Publishing 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5e8c96178c234fd5b8c8073f05aa79822021-11-05T19:02:19ZDetermination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales2040-22442408-935410.2166/wcc.2021.275https://doaj.org/article/5e8c96178c234fd5b8c8073f05aa79822021-08-01T00:00:00Zhttp://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/2010https://doaj.org/toc/2040-2244https://doaj.org/toc/2408-9354In order to survey the possible periodic, uncertainty and common features in runoff with multi-temporal scales, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method combined with the set pair analysis (SPA) method was applied, with data observed at Zhangjiashan hydrological station. The results showed that the flood season and annual runoff time series consisted of four intrinsic mode function (IMF) components, and the non-flood season time series exhibited three IMF components. Moreover, based on the different coupled set pairs from the time series, the identity, discrepancy, and contrary of different periods at multi-temporal scales were determined by the SPA method. The degree of connection μ between the flood season and annual runoff periods were the highest, with 0.94, 0.77, 0.7 and 0.73, respectively, and the μ between the flood periods and the non-flood periods were the lowest, with 0.66, 0.46, 0.24 and 0.24, respectively. Third, the maximum μ of each SPA appeared in the first mode function. In general, the different extractive periods decomposed by the EMD method reflected the average state of Jinghe River. Results also verified that runoff suffered from seasonal and periodic fluctuations, and fluctuations in the short-term corresponded to the most important variable. Therefore, the conclusions drawn in this study can improve water resources regulation and planning. HIGHLIGHTS A coupling model of empirical mode decomposition and set pair analysis is proposed.; Mutation and variation of runoff under different time scales is provided.; Trend components and fluctuation features under multi-temporal scales are explored.;Yan YeJinping ZhangXunjian LongLihua MaYong YeIWA Publishingarticleempirical mode decompositionmulti-temporal scalesperiodic fluctuationrunoffset pair analysisEnvironmental technology. Sanitary engineeringTD1-1066Environmental sciencesGE1-350ENJournal of Water and Climate Change, Vol 12, Iss 5, Pp 2010-2025 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic empirical mode decomposition
multi-temporal scales
periodic fluctuation
runoff
set pair analysis
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
spellingShingle empirical mode decomposition
multi-temporal scales
periodic fluctuation
runoff
set pair analysis
Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
TD1-1066
Environmental sciences
GE1-350
Yan Ye
Jinping Zhang
Xunjian Long
Lihua Ma
Yong Ye
Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
description In order to survey the possible periodic, uncertainty and common features in runoff with multi-temporal scales, the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method combined with the set pair analysis (SPA) method was applied, with data observed at Zhangjiashan hydrological station. The results showed that the flood season and annual runoff time series consisted of four intrinsic mode function (IMF) components, and the non-flood season time series exhibited three IMF components. Moreover, based on the different coupled set pairs from the time series, the identity, discrepancy, and contrary of different periods at multi-temporal scales were determined by the SPA method. The degree of connection μ between the flood season and annual runoff periods were the highest, with 0.94, 0.77, 0.7 and 0.73, respectively, and the μ between the flood periods and the non-flood periods were the lowest, with 0.66, 0.46, 0.24 and 0.24, respectively. Third, the maximum μ of each SPA appeared in the first mode function. In general, the different extractive periods decomposed by the EMD method reflected the average state of Jinghe River. Results also verified that runoff suffered from seasonal and periodic fluctuations, and fluctuations in the short-term corresponded to the most important variable. Therefore, the conclusions drawn in this study can improve water resources regulation and planning. HIGHLIGHTS A coupling model of empirical mode decomposition and set pair analysis is proposed.; Mutation and variation of runoff under different time scales is provided.; Trend components and fluctuation features under multi-temporal scales are explored.;
format article
author Yan Ye
Jinping Zhang
Xunjian Long
Lihua Ma
Yong Ye
author_facet Yan Ye
Jinping Zhang
Xunjian Long
Lihua Ma
Yong Ye
author_sort Yan Ye
title Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
title_short Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
title_full Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
title_fullStr Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
title_full_unstemmed Determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
title_sort determination of variation uncertainty in runoff time series at multi-temporal scales
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5e8c96178c234fd5b8c8073f05aa7982
work_keys_str_mv AT yanye determinationofvariationuncertaintyinrunofftimeseriesatmultitemporalscales
AT jinpingzhang determinationofvariationuncertaintyinrunofftimeseriesatmultitemporalscales
AT xunjianlong determinationofvariationuncertaintyinrunofftimeseriesatmultitemporalscales
AT lihuama determinationofvariationuncertaintyinrunofftimeseriesatmultitemporalscales
AT yongye determinationofvariationuncertaintyinrunofftimeseriesatmultitemporalscales
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