Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning

Objective: This study aimed to develop machine learning-based prediction models to predict masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension using the clinical characteristics of patients at a single outpatient visit.Methods: Data were derived from two cohorts in Taiwan. The first cohort incl...

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Autores principales: Ming-Hui Hung, Ling-Chieh Shih, Yu-Ching Wang, Hsin-Bang Leu, Po-Hsun Huang, Tao-Cheng Wu, Shing-Jong Lin, Wen-Harn Pan, Jaw-Wen Chen, Chin-Chou Huang
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Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:5fcaf9381f7549aa9f1bc8e4913787f72021-11-19T05:30:09ZPrediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning2297-055X10.3389/fcvm.2021.778306https://doaj.org/article/5fcaf9381f7549aa9f1bc8e4913787f72021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcvm.2021.778306/fullhttps://doaj.org/toc/2297-055XObjective: This study aimed to develop machine learning-based prediction models to predict masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension using the clinical characteristics of patients at a single outpatient visit.Methods: Data were derived from two cohorts in Taiwan. The first cohort included 970 hypertensive patients recruited from six medical centers between 2004 and 2005, which were split into a training set (n = 679), a validation set (n = 146), and a test set (n = 145) for model development and internal validation. The second cohort included 416 hypertensive patients recruited from a single medical center between 2012 and 2020, which was used for external validation. We used 33 clinical characteristics as candidate variables to develop models based on logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGboost), and artificial neural network (ANN).Results: The four models featured high sensitivity and high negative predictive value (NPV) in internal validation (sensitivity = 0.914–1.000; NPV = 0.853–1.000) and external validation (sensitivity = 0.950–1.000; NPV = 0.875–1.000). The RF, XGboost, and ANN models showed much higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.799–0.851 in internal validation, 0.672–0.837 in external validation) than the LR model. Among the models, the RF model, composed of 6 predictor variables, had the best overall performance in both internal and external validation (AUC = 0.851 and 0.837; sensitivity = 1.000 and 1.000; specificity = 0.609 and 0.580; NPV = 1.000 and 1.000; accuracy = 0.766 and 0.721, respectively).Conclusion: An effective machine learning-based predictive model that requires data from a single clinic visit may help to identify masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension.Ming-Hui HungLing-Chieh ShihYu-Ching WangHsin-Bang LeuHsin-Bang LeuHsin-Bang LeuHsin-Bang LeuPo-Hsun HuangPo-Hsun HuangPo-Hsun HuangPo-Hsun HuangTao-Cheng WuTao-Cheng WuTao-Cheng WuShing-Jong LinShing-Jong LinShing-Jong LinShing-Jong LinWen-Harn PanJaw-Wen ChenJaw-Wen ChenJaw-Wen ChenJaw-Wen ChenChin-Chou HuangChin-Chou HuangChin-Chou HuangChin-Chou HuangFrontiers Media S.A.articleambulatory blood pressure monitoringartificial intelligencemachine learninghypertensionmasked hypertensionmasked uncontrolled hypertensionDiseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) systemRC666-701ENFrontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine, Vol 8 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic ambulatory blood pressure monitoring
artificial intelligence
machine learning
hypertension
masked hypertension
masked uncontrolled hypertension
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
spellingShingle ambulatory blood pressure monitoring
artificial intelligence
machine learning
hypertension
masked hypertension
masked uncontrolled hypertension
Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system
RC666-701
Ming-Hui Hung
Ling-Chieh Shih
Yu-Ching Wang
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Wen-Harn Pan
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
description Objective: This study aimed to develop machine learning-based prediction models to predict masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension using the clinical characteristics of patients at a single outpatient visit.Methods: Data were derived from two cohorts in Taiwan. The first cohort included 970 hypertensive patients recruited from six medical centers between 2004 and 2005, which were split into a training set (n = 679), a validation set (n = 146), and a test set (n = 145) for model development and internal validation. The second cohort included 416 hypertensive patients recruited from a single medical center between 2012 and 2020, which was used for external validation. We used 33 clinical characteristics as candidate variables to develop models based on logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGboost), and artificial neural network (ANN).Results: The four models featured high sensitivity and high negative predictive value (NPV) in internal validation (sensitivity = 0.914–1.000; NPV = 0.853–1.000) and external validation (sensitivity = 0.950–1.000; NPV = 0.875–1.000). The RF, XGboost, and ANN models showed much higher area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) (0.799–0.851 in internal validation, 0.672–0.837 in external validation) than the LR model. Among the models, the RF model, composed of 6 predictor variables, had the best overall performance in both internal and external validation (AUC = 0.851 and 0.837; sensitivity = 1.000 and 1.000; specificity = 0.609 and 0.580; NPV = 1.000 and 1.000; accuracy = 0.766 and 0.721, respectively).Conclusion: An effective machine learning-based predictive model that requires data from a single clinic visit may help to identify masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension.
format article
author Ming-Hui Hung
Ling-Chieh Shih
Yu-Ching Wang
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Wen-Harn Pan
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
author_facet Ming-Hui Hung
Ling-Chieh Shih
Yu-Ching Wang
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Hsin-Bang Leu
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Po-Hsun Huang
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Tao-Cheng Wu
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Shing-Jong Lin
Wen-Harn Pan
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Jaw-Wen Chen
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
Chin-Chou Huang
author_sort Ming-Hui Hung
title Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
title_short Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
title_full Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
title_fullStr Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Masked Hypertension and Masked Uncontrolled Hypertension Using Machine Learning
title_sort prediction of masked hypertension and masked uncontrolled hypertension using machine learning
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/5fcaf9381f7549aa9f1bc8e4913787f7
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