Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth

<h4>Objective</h4> Growth-based determination of pubertal onset timing would be cheap and practical. We aimed to determine this timing based on pubertal growth markers. Secondary aims were to estimate the differences in growth between cohorts and identify the role of overweight in onset...

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Autores principales: Essi Syrjälä, Harri Niinikoski, Helena E. Virtanen, Jorma Ilonen, Mikael Knip, Nina Hutri-Kähönen, Katja Pahkala, Olli T. Raitakari, Wiwat Rodprasert, Jorma Toppari, Suvi M. Virtanen, Riitta Veijola, Jaakko Peltonen, Jaakko Nevalainen
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Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:60a63b34764e482aa4e90a5813451ec72021-11-25T06:19:42ZDetermining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth1932-6203https://doaj.org/article/60a63b34764e482aa4e90a5813451ec72021-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8601458/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Objective</h4> Growth-based determination of pubertal onset timing would be cheap and practical. We aimed to determine this timing based on pubertal growth markers. Secondary aims were to estimate the differences in growth between cohorts and identify the role of overweight in onset timing. <h4>Design</h4> This multicohort study includes data from three Finnish cohorts—the Type 1 Diabetes Prediction and Prevention (DIPP, N = 2,825) Study, the Special Turku Coronary Risk Factor Intervention Project (STRIP, N = 711), and the Boy cohort (N = 66). Children were monitored for growth and Tanner staging (except in DIPP). <h4>Methods</h4> The growth data were analyzed using a Super-Imposition by Translation And Rotation growth curve model, and pubertal onset analyses were run using a time-to-pubertal onset model. <h4>Results</h4> The time-to-pubertal onset model used age at peak height velocity (aPHV), peak height velocity (PHV), and overweight status as covariates, with interaction between aPHV and overweight status for girls, and succeeded in determining the onset timing. Cross-validation showed a good agreement (71.0% for girls, 77.0% for boys) between the observed and predicted onset timings. Children in STRIP were taller overall (girls: 1.7 [95% CI: 0.9, 2.5] cm, boys: 1.0 [0.3, 2.2] cm) and had higher PHV values (girls: 0.13 [0.02, 0.25] cm/year, boys: 0.35 [0.21, 0.49] cm/year) than those in DIPP. Boys in the Boy cohort were taller (2.3 [0.3, 4.2] cm) compared with DIPP. Overweight girls showed pubertal onset at 1.0 [0.7, 1.4] year earlier compared with other girls. In boys, there was no such difference. <h4>Conclusions</h4> The novel modeling approach provides an opportunity to evaluate the Tanner breast/genital stage–based pubertal onset timing in cohort studies including longitudinal data on growth but lacking pubertal follow-up.Essi SyrjäläHarri NiinikoskiHelena E. VirtanenJorma IlonenMikael KnipNina Hutri-KähönenKatja PahkalaOlli T. RaitakariWiwat RodprasertJorma ToppariSuvi M. VirtanenRiitta VeijolaJaakko PeltonenJaakko NevalainenPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 16, Iss 11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Essi Syrjälä
Harri Niinikoski
Helena E. Virtanen
Jorma Ilonen
Mikael Knip
Nina Hutri-Kähönen
Katja Pahkala
Olli T. Raitakari
Wiwat Rodprasert
Jorma Toppari
Suvi M. Virtanen
Riitta Veijola
Jaakko Peltonen
Jaakko Nevalainen
Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
description <h4>Objective</h4> Growth-based determination of pubertal onset timing would be cheap and practical. We aimed to determine this timing based on pubertal growth markers. Secondary aims were to estimate the differences in growth between cohorts and identify the role of overweight in onset timing. <h4>Design</h4> This multicohort study includes data from three Finnish cohorts—the Type 1 Diabetes Prediction and Prevention (DIPP, N = 2,825) Study, the Special Turku Coronary Risk Factor Intervention Project (STRIP, N = 711), and the Boy cohort (N = 66). Children were monitored for growth and Tanner staging (except in DIPP). <h4>Methods</h4> The growth data were analyzed using a Super-Imposition by Translation And Rotation growth curve model, and pubertal onset analyses were run using a time-to-pubertal onset model. <h4>Results</h4> The time-to-pubertal onset model used age at peak height velocity (aPHV), peak height velocity (PHV), and overweight status as covariates, with interaction between aPHV and overweight status for girls, and succeeded in determining the onset timing. Cross-validation showed a good agreement (71.0% for girls, 77.0% for boys) between the observed and predicted onset timings. Children in STRIP were taller overall (girls: 1.7 [95% CI: 0.9, 2.5] cm, boys: 1.0 [0.3, 2.2] cm) and had higher PHV values (girls: 0.13 [0.02, 0.25] cm/year, boys: 0.35 [0.21, 0.49] cm/year) than those in DIPP. Boys in the Boy cohort were taller (2.3 [0.3, 4.2] cm) compared with DIPP. Overweight girls showed pubertal onset at 1.0 [0.7, 1.4] year earlier compared with other girls. In boys, there was no such difference. <h4>Conclusions</h4> The novel modeling approach provides an opportunity to evaluate the Tanner breast/genital stage–based pubertal onset timing in cohort studies including longitudinal data on growth but lacking pubertal follow-up.
format article
author Essi Syrjälä
Harri Niinikoski
Helena E. Virtanen
Jorma Ilonen
Mikael Knip
Nina Hutri-Kähönen
Katja Pahkala
Olli T. Raitakari
Wiwat Rodprasert
Jorma Toppari
Suvi M. Virtanen
Riitta Veijola
Jaakko Peltonen
Jaakko Nevalainen
author_facet Essi Syrjälä
Harri Niinikoski
Helena E. Virtanen
Jorma Ilonen
Mikael Knip
Nina Hutri-Kähönen
Katja Pahkala
Olli T. Raitakari
Wiwat Rodprasert
Jorma Toppari
Suvi M. Virtanen
Riitta Veijola
Jaakko Peltonen
Jaakko Nevalainen
author_sort Essi Syrjälä
title Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
title_short Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
title_full Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
title_fullStr Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
title_full_unstemmed Determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
title_sort determining the timing of pubertal onset via a multicohort analysis of growth
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/60a63b34764e482aa4e90a5813451ec7
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