Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo

Abstract Land-use changes, such as deforestation and agriculture, can influence mosquito vector populations and malaria transmission. These land-use changes have been linked to increased incidence in human cases of the zoonotic malaria Plasmodium knowlesi in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo. This study inves...

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Autores principales: Isabel Byrne, Wilfredo Aure, Benny O. Manin, Indra Vythilingam, Heather M. Ferguson, Chris J. Drakeley, Tock H. Chua, Kimberly M. Fornace
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Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2021
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:60c80f8eac2e45738071c799e4f241202021-12-02T18:24:54ZEnvironmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo10.1038/s41598-021-90893-12045-2322https://doaj.org/article/60c80f8eac2e45738071c799e4f241202021-06-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-90893-1https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract Land-use changes, such as deforestation and agriculture, can influence mosquito vector populations and malaria transmission. These land-use changes have been linked to increased incidence in human cases of the zoonotic malaria Plasmodium knowlesi in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo. This study investigates whether these associations are partially driven by fine-scale land-use changes creating more favourable aquatic breeding habitats for P. knowlesi anopheline vectors. Using aerial remote sensing data, we developed a sampling frame representative of all land use types within a major focus of P. knowlesi transmission. From 2015 to 2016 monthly longitudinal surveys of larval habitats were collected in randomly selected areas stratified by land use type. Additional remote sensing data on environmental variables, land cover and landscape configuration were assembled for the study site. Risk factor analyses were performed over multiple spatial scales to determine associations between environmental and spatial variables and anopheline larval presence. Habitat fragmentation (300 m), aspect (350 m), distance to rubber plantations (100 m) and Culex larval presence were identified as risk factors for Anopheles breeding. Additionally, models were fit to determine the presence of potential larval habitats within the areas surveyed and used to generate a time-series of monthly predictive maps. These results indicate that land-use change and topography influence the suitability of larval habitats, and may partially explain the link between P. knowlesi incidence and deforestation. The predictive maps, and identification of the spatial scales at which risk factors are most influential may aid spatio-temporally targeted vector control interventions.Isabel ByrneWilfredo AureBenny O. ManinIndra VythilingamHeather M. FergusonChris J. DrakeleyTock H. ChuaKimberly M. FornaceNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Isabel Byrne
Wilfredo Aure
Benny O. Manin
Indra Vythilingam
Heather M. Ferguson
Chris J. Drakeley
Tock H. Chua
Kimberly M. Fornace
Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
description Abstract Land-use changes, such as deforestation and agriculture, can influence mosquito vector populations and malaria transmission. These land-use changes have been linked to increased incidence in human cases of the zoonotic malaria Plasmodium knowlesi in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo. This study investigates whether these associations are partially driven by fine-scale land-use changes creating more favourable aquatic breeding habitats for P. knowlesi anopheline vectors. Using aerial remote sensing data, we developed a sampling frame representative of all land use types within a major focus of P. knowlesi transmission. From 2015 to 2016 monthly longitudinal surveys of larval habitats were collected in randomly selected areas stratified by land use type. Additional remote sensing data on environmental variables, land cover and landscape configuration were assembled for the study site. Risk factor analyses were performed over multiple spatial scales to determine associations between environmental and spatial variables and anopheline larval presence. Habitat fragmentation (300 m), aspect (350 m), distance to rubber plantations (100 m) and Culex larval presence were identified as risk factors for Anopheles breeding. Additionally, models were fit to determine the presence of potential larval habitats within the areas surveyed and used to generate a time-series of monthly predictive maps. These results indicate that land-use change and topography influence the suitability of larval habitats, and may partially explain the link between P. knowlesi incidence and deforestation. The predictive maps, and identification of the spatial scales at which risk factors are most influential may aid spatio-temporally targeted vector control interventions.
format article
author Isabel Byrne
Wilfredo Aure
Benny O. Manin
Indra Vythilingam
Heather M. Ferguson
Chris J. Drakeley
Tock H. Chua
Kimberly M. Fornace
author_facet Isabel Byrne
Wilfredo Aure
Benny O. Manin
Indra Vythilingam
Heather M. Ferguson
Chris J. Drakeley
Tock H. Chua
Kimberly M. Fornace
author_sort Isabel Byrne
title Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
title_short Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
title_full Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
title_fullStr Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
title_full_unstemmed Environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of Plasmodium knowlesi vectors in Sabah, Malaysian Borneo
title_sort environmental and spatial risk factors for the larval habitats of plasmodium knowlesi vectors in sabah, malaysian borneo
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/60c80f8eac2e45738071c799e4f24120
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