COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES

COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear pro...

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Autores principales: V. P. Bongolan, K. K. Ang, J. J. Celeste, J. M. Minoza, S. Caoili, R. L. Rivera, R. de Castro
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Copernicus Publications 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb78
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb782021-11-19T00:01:30ZCOVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES10.5194/isprs-archives-XLVI-4-W6-2021-65-20211682-17502194-9034https://doaj.org/article/610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb782021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.int-arch-photogramm-remote-sens-spatial-inf-sci.net/XLVI-4-W6-2021/65/2021/isprs-archives-XLVI-4-W6-2021-65-2021.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/1682-1750https://doaj.org/toc/2194-9034COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear programming model for equitable vaccine distribution, was then used to simulate four vaccination scenarios. Experiments were conducted with the front-line workers always added to the groups: mobile workers, elderly and low-income. Main results are: prioritizing the mobile workers minimizes infections the most (by 4.34%), while prioritizing the low-income groups minimizes deaths the most (by 1.93%). These results demonstrate that protecting the population with the most interactions (mobile workers) effectively reduces future infections. On the other hand, protecting the most vulnerable population (low income and elderly) decreases the likelihood of death. These results may guide the policy-makers in Quezon City.V. P. BongolanK. K. AngJ. J. CelesteJ. M. MinozaS. CaoiliR. L. RiveraR. de CastroCopernicus PublicationsarticleTechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040Applied optics. PhotonicsTA1501-1820ENThe International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Vol XLVI-4-W6-2021, Pp 65-70 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Applied optics. Photonics
TA1501-1820
spellingShingle Technology
T
Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
TA1-2040
Applied optics. Photonics
TA1501-1820
V. P. Bongolan
K. K. Ang
J. J. Celeste
J. M. Minoza
S. Caoili
R. L. Rivera
R. de Castro
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
description COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear programming model for equitable vaccine distribution, was then used to simulate four vaccination scenarios. Experiments were conducted with the front-line workers always added to the groups: mobile workers, elderly and low-income. Main results are: prioritizing the mobile workers minimizes infections the most (by 4.34%), while prioritizing the low-income groups minimizes deaths the most (by 1.93%). These results demonstrate that protecting the population with the most interactions (mobile workers) effectively reduces future infections. On the other hand, protecting the most vulnerable population (low income and elderly) decreases the likelihood of death. These results may guide the policy-makers in Quezon City.
format article
author V. P. Bongolan
K. K. Ang
J. J. Celeste
J. M. Minoza
S. Caoili
R. L. Rivera
R. de Castro
author_facet V. P. Bongolan
K. K. Ang
J. J. Celeste
J. M. Minoza
S. Caoili
R. L. Rivera
R. de Castro
author_sort V. P. Bongolan
title COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
title_short COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
title_full COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
title_fullStr COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
title_sort covid-19 agent-based model: an epidemiological simulator applied in vaccination scenarios for quezon city, philippines
publisher Copernicus Publications
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb78
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