COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES
COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear pro...
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Copernicus Publications
2021
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oai:doaj.org-article:610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb782021-11-19T00:01:30ZCOVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES10.5194/isprs-archives-XLVI-4-W6-2021-65-20211682-17502194-9034https://doaj.org/article/610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb782021-11-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.int-arch-photogramm-remote-sens-spatial-inf-sci.net/XLVI-4-W6-2021/65/2021/isprs-archives-XLVI-4-W6-2021-65-2021.pdfhttps://doaj.org/toc/1682-1750https://doaj.org/toc/2194-9034COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear programming model for equitable vaccine distribution, was then used to simulate four vaccination scenarios. Experiments were conducted with the front-line workers always added to the groups: mobile workers, elderly and low-income. Main results are: prioritizing the mobile workers minimizes infections the most (by 4.34%), while prioritizing the low-income groups minimizes deaths the most (by 1.93%). These results demonstrate that protecting the population with the most interactions (mobile workers) effectively reduces future infections. On the other hand, protecting the most vulnerable population (low income and elderly) decreases the likelihood of death. These results may guide the policy-makers in Quezon City.V. P. BongolanK. K. AngJ. J. CelesteJ. M. MinozaS. CaoiliR. L. RiveraR. de CastroCopernicus PublicationsarticleTechnologyTEngineering (General). Civil engineering (General)TA1-2040Applied optics. PhotonicsTA1501-1820ENThe International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, Vol XLVI-4-W6-2021, Pp 65-70 (2021) |
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EN |
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Technology T Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 Applied optics. Photonics TA1501-1820 |
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Technology T Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) TA1-2040 Applied optics. Photonics TA1501-1820 V. P. Bongolan K. K. Ang J. J. Celeste J. M. Minoza S. Caoili R. L. Rivera R. de Castro COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
description |
COVID-19 vaccines are rolling out in the Philippines but the supply remains limited; there is a need to optimize the distribution. In this study, we developed a COVID-19 agent-based model for Quezon City, a COVID-19 hotspot in the country. This model, in conjunction with a multi-objective linear programming model for equitable vaccine distribution, was then used to simulate four vaccination scenarios. Experiments were conducted with the front-line workers always added to the groups: mobile workers, elderly and low-income. Main results are: prioritizing the mobile workers minimizes infections the most (by 4.34%), while prioritizing the low-income groups minimizes deaths the most (by 1.93%). These results demonstrate that protecting the population with the most interactions (mobile workers) effectively reduces future infections. On the other hand, protecting the most vulnerable population (low income and elderly) decreases the likelihood of death. These results may guide the policy-makers in Quezon City. |
format |
article |
author |
V. P. Bongolan K. K. Ang J. J. Celeste J. M. Minoza S. Caoili R. L. Rivera R. de Castro |
author_facet |
V. P. Bongolan K. K. Ang J. J. Celeste J. M. Minoza S. Caoili R. L. Rivera R. de Castro |
author_sort |
V. P. Bongolan |
title |
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
title_short |
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
title_full |
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
title_fullStr |
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
title_full_unstemmed |
COVID-19 AGENT-BASED MODEL: AN EPIDEMIOLOGICAL SIMULATOR APPLIED IN VACCINATION SCENARIOS FOR QUEZON CITY, PHILIPPINES |
title_sort |
covid-19 agent-based model: an epidemiological simulator applied in vaccination scenarios for quezon city, philippines |
publisher |
Copernicus Publications |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doaj.org/article/610a04488e9d42fa91f475954478bb78 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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