Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa

Prior studies mapping climatologically suitable areas for malaria transmission have used relatively simple thresholds for precipitation. Here the authors show that when models incorporate hydrological processes a more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges in Africa and future shifts in suit...

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Autores principales:	M. W. Smith, T. Willis, L. Alfieri, W. H. M. James, M. A. Trigg, D. Yamazaki, A. J. Hardy, B. Bisselink, A. De Roo, M. G. Macklin, C. J. Thomas
Formato:	article
Lenguaje:	EN
Publicado:	Nature Portfolio 2020
Materias:	Science Q
Acceso en línea:	https://doaj.org/article/61959e5d5b0547dc866e300ae4a24061
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spelling	oai:doaj.org-article:61959e5d5b0547dc866e300ae4a240612021-12-02T18:53:20ZIncorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa10.1038/s41467-020-18239-52041-1723https://doaj.org/article/61959e5d5b0547dc866e300ae4a240612020-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18239-5https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723Prior studies mapping climatologically suitable areas for malaria transmission have used relatively simple thresholds for precipitation. Here the authors show that when models incorporate hydrological processes a more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges in Africa and future shifts in suitability are more pronounced.M. W. SmithT. WillisL. AlfieriW. H. M. JamesM. A. TriggD. YamazakiA. J. HardyB. BisselinkA. De RooM. G. MacklinC. J. ThomasNature PortfolioarticleScienceQENNature Communications, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2020)
institution	DOAJ
collection	DOAJ
language	EN
topic	Science Q
spellingShingle	Science Q M. W. Smith T. Willis L. Alfieri W. H. M. James M. A. Trigg D. Yamazaki A. J. Hardy B. Bisselink A. De Roo M. G. Macklin C. J. Thomas Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
description	Prior studies mapping climatologically suitable areas for malaria transmission have used relatively simple thresholds for precipitation. Here the authors show that when models incorporate hydrological processes a more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges in Africa and future shifts in suitability are more pronounced.
format	article
author	M. W. Smith T. Willis L. Alfieri W. H. M. James M. A. Trigg D. Yamazaki A. J. Hardy B. Bisselink A. De Roo M. G. Macklin C. J. Thomas
author_facet	M. W. Smith T. Willis L. Alfieri W. H. M. James M. A. Trigg D. Yamazaki A. J. Hardy B. Bisselink A. De Roo M. G. Macklin C. J. Thomas
author_sort	M. W. Smith
title	Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
title_short	Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
title_full	Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
title_fullStr	Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
title_full_unstemmed	Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa
title_sort	incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in africa
publisher	Nature Portfolio
publishDate	2020
url	https://doaj.org/article/61959e5d5b0547dc866e300ae4a24061
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Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa

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