Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability

Abstract The hydrological cycle is expected to intensify with global warming, which likely increases the intensity of extreme precipitation events and the risk of flooding. The changes, however, often differ from the theorized expectation of increases in water‐holding capacity of the atmosphere in t...

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Autor principal: Hossein Tabari
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Nature Portfolio 2020
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/61c2f3b32de74181bd54c2bd4e1a8b7f
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:61c2f3b32de74181bd54c2bd4e1a8b7f2021-12-02T18:50:55ZClimate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability10.1038/s41598-020-70816-22045-2322https://doaj.org/article/61c2f3b32de74181bd54c2bd4e1a8b7f2020-08-01T00:00:00Zhttps://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-70816-2https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322Abstract The hydrological cycle is expected to intensify with global warming, which likely increases the intensity of extreme precipitation events and the risk of flooding. The changes, however, often differ from the theorized expectation of increases in water‐holding capacity of the atmosphere in the warmer conditions, especially when water availability is limited. Here, the relationships of changes in extreme precipitation and flood intensities for the end of the twenty-first century with spatial and seasonal water availability are quantified. Results show an intensification of extreme precipitation and flood events over all climate regions which increases as water availability increases from dry to wet regions. Similarly, there is an increase in the intensification of extreme precipitation and flood with the seasonal cycle of water availability. The connection between extreme precipitation and flood intensity changes and spatial and seasonal water availability becomes stronger as events become less extreme.Hossein TabariNature PortfolioarticleMedicineRScienceQENScientific Reports, Vol 10, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2020)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Hossein Tabari
Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
description Abstract The hydrological cycle is expected to intensify with global warming, which likely increases the intensity of extreme precipitation events and the risk of flooding. The changes, however, often differ from the theorized expectation of increases in water‐holding capacity of the atmosphere in the warmer conditions, especially when water availability is limited. Here, the relationships of changes in extreme precipitation and flood intensities for the end of the twenty-first century with spatial and seasonal water availability are quantified. Results show an intensification of extreme precipitation and flood events over all climate regions which increases as water availability increases from dry to wet regions. Similarly, there is an increase in the intensification of extreme precipitation and flood with the seasonal cycle of water availability. The connection between extreme precipitation and flood intensity changes and spatial and seasonal water availability becomes stronger as events become less extreme.
format article
author Hossein Tabari
author_facet Hossein Tabari
author_sort Hossein Tabari
title Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
title_short Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
title_full Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
title_fullStr Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
title_full_unstemmed Climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
title_sort climate change impact on flood and extreme precipitation increases with water availability
publisher Nature Portfolio
publishDate 2020
url https://doaj.org/article/61c2f3b32de74181bd54c2bd4e1a8b7f
work_keys_str_mv AT hosseintabari climatechangeimpactonfloodandextremeprecipitationincreaseswithwateravailability
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