Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin

Global reanalysis dataset estimations of climate variables constitute an alternative for overcoming data scarcity associated with sparsely and unevenly distributed hydrometeorological networks often found in developing countries. However, reanalysis datasets require detailed validation to determine...

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Autores principales: Jean Vega-Durán, Brigitte Escalante-Castro, Fausto A. Canales, Guillermo J. Acuña, Bartosz Kaźmierczak
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Publicado: MDPI AG 2021
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Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/622b52298a8e4e9199dbac5f8144c2e1
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spelling oai:doaj.org-article:622b52298a8e4e9199dbac5f8144c2e12021-11-25T16:44:39ZEvaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin10.3390/atmos121114302073-4433https://doaj.org/article/622b52298a8e4e9199dbac5f8144c2e12021-10-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/11/1430https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433Global reanalysis dataset estimations of climate variables constitute an alternative for overcoming data scarcity associated with sparsely and unevenly distributed hydrometeorological networks often found in developing countries. However, reanalysis datasets require detailed validation to determine their accuracy and reliability. This paper evaluates the performance of MERRA2 and ERA5 regarding their monthly rainfall products, comparing their areal precipitation averages with estimates based on ground measurement records from 49 rain gauges managed by the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (IDEAM) and the Thiessen polygons method in the Sinu River basin, Colombia. The performance metrics employed in this research are the correlation coefficient, the bias, the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), and the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results show that ERA5 generally outperforms MERRA2 in the study area. However, both reanalyses consistently overestimate the monthly averages calculated from IDEAM records at all time and spatial scales. The negative NSE values indicate that historical monthly averages from IDEAM records are better predictors than both MERRA2 and ERA5 rainfall products.Jean Vega-DuránBrigitte Escalante-CastroFausto A. CanalesGuillermo J. AcuñaBartosz KaźmierczakMDPI AGarticlerainfallreanalysisERA 5MERRA 2Thiessen polygonsMeteorology. ClimatologyQC851-999ENAtmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 1430, p 1430 (2021)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic rainfall
reanalysis
ERA 5
MERRA 2
Thiessen polygons
Meteorology. Climatology
QC851-999
spellingShingle rainfall
reanalysis
ERA 5
MERRA 2
Thiessen polygons
Meteorology. Climatology
QC851-999
Jean Vega-Durán
Brigitte Escalante-Castro
Fausto A. Canales
Guillermo J. Acuña
Bartosz Kaźmierczak
Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
description Global reanalysis dataset estimations of climate variables constitute an alternative for overcoming data scarcity associated with sparsely and unevenly distributed hydrometeorological networks often found in developing countries. However, reanalysis datasets require detailed validation to determine their accuracy and reliability. This paper evaluates the performance of MERRA2 and ERA5 regarding their monthly rainfall products, comparing their areal precipitation averages with estimates based on ground measurement records from 49 rain gauges managed by the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology, and Environmental Studies (IDEAM) and the Thiessen polygons method in the Sinu River basin, Colombia. The performance metrics employed in this research are the correlation coefficient, the bias, the normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), and the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results show that ERA5 generally outperforms MERRA2 in the study area. However, both reanalyses consistently overestimate the monthly averages calculated from IDEAM records at all time and spatial scales. The negative NSE values indicate that historical monthly averages from IDEAM records are better predictors than both MERRA2 and ERA5 rainfall products.
format article
author Jean Vega-Durán
Brigitte Escalante-Castro
Fausto A. Canales
Guillermo J. Acuña
Bartosz Kaźmierczak
author_facet Jean Vega-Durán
Brigitte Escalante-Castro
Fausto A. Canales
Guillermo J. Acuña
Bartosz Kaźmierczak
author_sort Jean Vega-Durán
title Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
title_short Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
title_full Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
title_fullStr Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of Areal Monthly Average Precipitation Estimates from MERRA2 and ERA5 Reanalysis in a Colombian Caribbean Basin
title_sort evaluation of areal monthly average precipitation estimates from merra2 and era5 reanalysis in a colombian caribbean basin
publisher MDPI AG
publishDate 2021
url https://doaj.org/article/622b52298a8e4e9199dbac5f8144c2e1
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