Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.

<h4>Background</h4>Frailty is a dynamic age-related condition of increased vulnerability characterized by declines across multiple physiologic systems and associated with an increased risk of death. We compared the predictive accuracy for one-month and one-year all-cause mortality of fou...

Descripción completa

Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Alberto Pilotto, Franco Rengo, Niccolò Marchionni, Daniele Sancarlo, Andrea Fontana, Francesco Panza, Luigi Ferrucci, FIRI-SIGG Study Group
Formato: article
Lenguaje:EN
Publicado: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2012
Materias:
R
Q
Acceso en línea:https://doaj.org/article/62929d594474424b9afe1f025a5e435f
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
id oai:doaj.org-article:62929d594474424b9afe1f025a5e435f
record_format dspace
spelling oai:doaj.org-article:62929d594474424b9afe1f025a5e435f2021-11-18T07:30:32ZComparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.1932-620310.1371/journal.pone.0029090https://doaj.org/article/62929d594474424b9afe1f025a5e435f2012-01-01T00:00:00Zhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/pmid/22247767/?tool=EBIhttps://doaj.org/toc/1932-6203<h4>Background</h4>Frailty is a dynamic age-related condition of increased vulnerability characterized by declines across multiple physiologic systems and associated with an increased risk of death. We compared the predictive accuracy for one-month and one-year all-cause mortality of four frailty instruments in a large population of hospitalized older patients in a prospective multicentre cohort study.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>On 2033 hospitalized patients aged ≥ 65 years from twenty Italian geriatric units, we calculated the frailty indexes derived from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (FI-SOF), based on the cumulative deficits model (FI-CD), based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment (FI-CGA), and the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI). The overall mortality rates were 8.6% after one-month and 24.9% after one-year follow-up. All frailty instruments were significantly associated with one-month and one-year all-cause mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated from age- and sex-adjusted logistic regression models, accounting for clustering due to centre effect, showed that the MPI had a significant higher discriminatory accuracy than FI-SOF, FI-CD, and FI-CGA after one month (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.685 vs. FI-CD = 0.738 vs. FI-CGA = 0.724 vs. MPI = 0.765, p<0.0001) and one year of follow-up (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.694 vs. FI-CD = 0.729 vs. FI-CGA = 0.727 vs. MPI = 0.750, p<0.0001). The MPI showed a significant higher discriminatory power for predicting one-year mortality also in hospitalized older patients without functional limitations, without cognitive impairment, malnourished, with increased comorbidity, and with a high number of drugs.<h4>Conclusions</h4>All frailty instruments were significantly associated with short- and long-term all-cause mortality, but MPI demonstrated a significant higher predictive power than other frailty instruments in hospitalized older patients.Alberto PilottoFranco RengoNiccolò MarchionniDaniele SancarloAndrea FontanaFrancesco PanzaLuigi FerrucciFIRI-SIGG Study GroupPublic Library of Science (PLoS)articleMedicineRScienceQENPLoS ONE, Vol 7, Iss 1, p e29090 (2012)
institution DOAJ
collection DOAJ
language EN
topic Medicine
R
Science
Q
spellingShingle Medicine
R
Science
Q
Alberto Pilotto
Franco Rengo
Niccolò Marchionni
Daniele Sancarlo
Andrea Fontana
Francesco Panza
Luigi Ferrucci
FIRI-SIGG Study Group
Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
description <h4>Background</h4>Frailty is a dynamic age-related condition of increased vulnerability characterized by declines across multiple physiologic systems and associated with an increased risk of death. We compared the predictive accuracy for one-month and one-year all-cause mortality of four frailty instruments in a large population of hospitalized older patients in a prospective multicentre cohort study.<h4>Methods and findings</h4>On 2033 hospitalized patients aged ≥ 65 years from twenty Italian geriatric units, we calculated the frailty indexes derived from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (FI-SOF), based on the cumulative deficits model (FI-CD), based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment (FI-CGA), and the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI). The overall mortality rates were 8.6% after one-month and 24.9% after one-year follow-up. All frailty instruments were significantly associated with one-month and one-year all-cause mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated from age- and sex-adjusted logistic regression models, accounting for clustering due to centre effect, showed that the MPI had a significant higher discriminatory accuracy than FI-SOF, FI-CD, and FI-CGA after one month (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.685 vs. FI-CD = 0.738 vs. FI-CGA = 0.724 vs. MPI = 0.765, p<0.0001) and one year of follow-up (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.694 vs. FI-CD = 0.729 vs. FI-CGA = 0.727 vs. MPI = 0.750, p<0.0001). The MPI showed a significant higher discriminatory power for predicting one-year mortality also in hospitalized older patients without functional limitations, without cognitive impairment, malnourished, with increased comorbidity, and with a high number of drugs.<h4>Conclusions</h4>All frailty instruments were significantly associated with short- and long-term all-cause mortality, but MPI demonstrated a significant higher predictive power than other frailty instruments in hospitalized older patients.
format article
author Alberto Pilotto
Franco Rengo
Niccolò Marchionni
Daniele Sancarlo
Andrea Fontana
Francesco Panza
Luigi Ferrucci
FIRI-SIGG Study Group
author_facet Alberto Pilotto
Franco Rengo
Niccolò Marchionni
Daniele Sancarlo
Andrea Fontana
Francesco Panza
Luigi Ferrucci
FIRI-SIGG Study Group
author_sort Alberto Pilotto
title Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
title_short Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
title_full Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
title_fullStr Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
title_full_unstemmed Comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
title_sort comparing the prognostic accuracy for all-cause mortality of frailty instruments: a multicentre 1-year follow-up in hospitalized older patients.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
publishDate 2012
url https://doaj.org/article/62929d594474424b9afe1f025a5e435f
work_keys_str_mv AT albertopilotto comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT francorengo comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT niccolomarchionni comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT danielesancarlo comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT andreafontana comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT francescopanza comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT luigiferrucci comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
AT firisiggstudygroup comparingtheprognosticaccuracyforallcausemortalityoffrailtyinstrumentsamulticentre1yearfollowupinhospitalizedolderpatients
_version_ 1718423347243515904